Why It Is Mathematically Impossible for Trump to win the White House

The trending in the rust belt is in Trump's favor. That 7 % margin you speak of was much greater just a few months ago. You need to learn perspective, not simply an absolute snapshot in time.

 

Speaking of, Trump and Sanders may very well debate just before the Cali primaries.

It would be epic, Trump is calling for $10 million to be donated to women's health issues (charities). Of course, he hates women so who knows why he suggested that.

Sanders has accepted the debate. The $10 million donation is the part that would have to be worked out (Trump's spokeswoman said it would come from the network that airs the debate).

If that does take place, Hillary is looking like a total loser and outsider and I bet anything it propels Sanders to a 5-10 point win in California, closes the gap to about 200 delegates and makes the 700 or so super delegates take pause as to who really should get their vote. It could be the game changer Sanders has been hoping for (his first game changer is still in play with Hillary in an orange jumpsuit).

 

Time to school this flaming liberal:

Here are the facts from the 2012 Presidential election by 5 key voting blocks:

Educated White
77 % voted, 56 % Republican

Non-Educated White
57 % voted, 62 % Republican

Black
66 % voted, 93 % Democrat

Latino
48 % voted, 71 % Democrat

Asian/Other
49 % voted, 67 % Democrat

Using the swing state calculator from fivethirtyeight.com website which recalulates each state based on the turnout and voting outcome from each of the 5 groups above, we see how very easy it will be to turn blue states red.

Using some common sense about what we've learned so far in these primaries, it's safe to say the Latino voter turnout will be higher. How much higher is unknown as Latino's typically turn out the least in general elections. So we'll be a bit conservative with the kind of bump the Dems could get from the Latino vote in 2016. Also, we know that the passion of the Black vote won't be as intense as it was for Barack Obama in 2012. So we'll temper the drastic results which will give a bump to Trump.

Asian/Other category is largely unknown so that group will be left in tact.

In the same vein, Trump has not moved the educated white towards his side in nearly the same fashion as he has the non-educated. So we'll leave the white educated exactly the same. The non-educated white is the key to the election for Trump. How many more can he get to turnout than did in 2012 and can he get a slightly higher percentage to vote Republican?

Educated White
77 % voted, 56 % Republican

Non-Educated White
61 % voted, 68 % Republican

Black
62 % voted, 90 % Democrat

Latino
58 % voted, 77 % Democrat

Asian/Other
49 % voted, 67 % Democrat

So simply upping the voter turnout of non-educated white from 57 to 61 percent and the Republican weighted vote from 62 % to 68 %, Trump wins the election 273-265 but lose the popular vote 49.4 to 48.9. I gave the Dems an even bigger bump with the Latino vote, going from 48 % to 58 % turnout and Dem weighted vote from 71 % to 77 %. And I very slightly tempered the black vote, giving Dems a whopping 90 % and 62 % turnout (down from 66 % for Obama).

But yeah I lack clarity, focus, facts, etc.