Current delegate count (1237 is needed to win): 708 have been awarded thus far (20 more left to be decided in Texas) Trump 332 Cruz 230 Rubio 113 Kasich 25 Carson 8 Trump is currently winning 47 % of the delegates. He needs to win 50 % + 1 in order to secure the nomination and prevent potential chaos at the convention. If you take out what is essentially an anomaly with Texas, Trump has won a little more than 52 % of the delegates. Doing the math of Trump continuing to win 47 % of the delegates up until the March 15 primaries (on/after this date is strictly winner take all): March 5 Kansas 40, Kentucky 46, Louisiana 46, Maine 23 March 6 Puerto Rico 23 March 8 Hawaii 19, Idaho 32, Michigan 59, Mississippi 40 March 12 DC 19 347 delegates up for grabs: Here is what it could roughly look like up until March 15: Trump 495 Cruz 343 Rubio 168 Kasich 37 Carson 12 Now comes the most important date of the calendar year, March 15: Florida 99, Illinois 69, Missouri 52, North Carolina 72, Ohio 66, N. Mariana Islands 9 Even if you give Kasich Ohio and Trump runs the table (likely based on current polling): 1422 awarded, 1050 left, 1237 needed to win Trump 796 Cruz 343 Rubio 168 Kasich 103 Carson 12 FYI, John King of CNN who crunches the numbers came up with these figures: Trump 781 Cruz 340 Rubio 241 Kasich 41 Rubio drops out, who cares what Carson does, Kasich is irrelevant moving forward as well. So it's a two man race, essentially and now Trump can really start to rack up the delegates in the winner take all affairs. At this point, Trump has won 56 % of the delegates. Of the 1050 delegates left, Trump would only have to win roughly 40 % to Cruz' 60 %.
Trump supporters are too stupid to realize his policies won't work and are left wing in many instances. No sense trying to tell them.
Clinton is probably going to select Julian Castro as a running mate, up and coming politician from San Antonio Texas. I think if she chooses him, it's game over, no matter who wins on the right.
thats a terrible secret in DC, I have met Castro and talk to him, he didnt deny it when someone asked who I was with.
Not really the point. The point is, he's not a conservative and most of his followers who are conservatives, think he is.
