Good news, bad news with Rita... Rita is starting to weaken just a bit. Hopefully, the eyewall replacement cycle is beginning and she'll weaken throughout the day. Unfortunately, the timing of this cycle may be too early and may allow her enough time to regain some strength tomorrow. But she'll be entering some cooler waters as she nears the coast, so hopefully this will prevent further strengthening before landfall. I think we'll be looking at 130-140 mph winds at landfall. Bad news is she is slowing down, which means she may be starting her turn to the NW. Many of the computer models this morning have shifted to the east, bringing it closer to the Louisiana/Texas border. This is not good for SW Louisiana, as it will be on the bad side of the storm. And more bad news ... some models have Rita stalling out over eastern Texas after making landfall. The potential to dump upwards of 20+ inches of rain along the Texas/Louisiana border is very real should this happen. Other than that, it's a great morning! :thumb:
This map is not good news. BR has a greater than 50 percent chance of tropical storm-force winds in the latest projections. Games have been played in torrential rain . . . but no way the game goes on with that kind of wind, I fear. Tropical Storm wind projections
Looks like I'll be staying in Houston for this baby. Bad reports of trying to get out of the city. Heard some folks on TV this morning, left home at 11 PM Wed. night, by 7 AM this morning, they had moved 18 miles. Gas stations empty, people idling, running low on gas. Take the problem of evacuating NO, and multilpy by 3. The interstates are not set up for contraflow, still in and out. We gotta get that fixed next time. I have some pretty cool boarding job on my two expensive type windows, lookin rustic here. I'll be online till we lose elec. Friday night, then back in a week hopefully. I hope to find out that we have kicked the Vols A$$ when I get some news! Rich
right but the main problem is travel......but the hurricane is projected to make landfall Sat. morning as of now.
Jim was saying this morning instead of going North it might be better to head south now that the stom is making her turn. And I just heard that 290 all the way to Austins is pointing out.
anyone see this model (CLP5) that has the eye passing right over BR? http://thestormtrack.com/archives/2005/09/the_latest_mode.html
Y'all see what is happening right! Now that the moved everyone from the Astrodome to Arkansas the hurricane is adjusting its target. They are now talking about it stalling out over North Texas and Arkansas and dumping ungodly amounts of rain.
I find it pretty interesting how some of these forecasters can have such different opinions on where it is going to go. You would think that if they are relying on physics, pressure systems, and other scientific stuff that I don't know a whole lot about, these people would be coming to some sort of consensus. I realize that they might not be right, but they should at least all be wrong together since they are looking at the same information. How can it be either hitting Baton Rouge or San Antonio?
