Playoff Projections

Discussion in 'The Tiger's Den' started by LSUTiga, Nov 27, 2022.

  1. CagedTiger

    CagedTiger Freshman

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    I think regardless of what happens Saturday, Georgia is in, period! I also think Michigan is in, unless they lose their championship game by 60! When you manhandle a team like Ohio State on its own field, that speaks loudly to the entire country. I don't Alabama is making it in front of Ohio State, simply because Alabama has twice as many losses and they could easily be 8-4, instead of 10-2. If you look at the whole picture, Alabama is simply not the juggernaut they have been in the past.
     
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  2. mctiger

    mctiger RIP, and thanks for the music Staff Member

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    I don't see a path for Bama to get in other than a rash of upsets Saturday. As @CagedTiger said, UGA is already in, and Michigan only misses out with an ugly loss. TCU and USC are win and in. If either loses, Ohio State re-enters the conversation. TCU and USC would both have to lose ugly for Bama to even get into the discussion.
     
  3. TigerFan90

    TigerFan90 Too far away from home

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    I just can’t see a 1-loss TCU getting in over BAMA. I mean, I can, because it is BAMA and Nick, but it clearly shouldn’t be. TCU went through their Big-12 schedule undefeated. There essentially is no reason for this CCG. A 1-loss TCU that plays in their CCG and loses should not suffer the penalty of being replaced by a 2-loss BAMA who didn’t win their division, didn’t play in their CCG, and gets rewarded by sitting at home with their 2-losses. Yeah, I know we have kinda seen this shit before, but it defies logic. I see the top 3 being locked in (UGA, UM, TCU) no matter what happens Saturday (I don’t see 50 point losses by any of them). I think the playoff is coming down to 4/5 USC/tOSU. All USC has to do is win and they are in. If they lose, its tOSU. So, your CFP field will likely be in this order:
    1. UGA
    2. UM
    3. TCU
    4. USC (alt tOSU if USC shits the bed).

    If there are losses in the top 3, the order could change, but I am sticking with them as in.
     
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  4. BAY0U BENGAL

    BAY0U BENGAL I'm a Chinese Bandit

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    To me, it defeats the purpose of the playoff. If you’re going to allow the 3rd place team within a division, just off of name alone, why even have a rankings system and a playoff system? I know that strength of schedule is important, but you don’t get to not win and go to the big game. If we’d beaten A&M and then beaten UGA in the conference championship, we’d be lucky to overtake a 0 loss or 1 loss team. But that’s by winning the conference, not by placing 3rd
     
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  5. lsu-i-like

    lsu-i-like Playoff advocate

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    Conference champions don’t get an auto bid, and shouldn’t in a 4 team playoff. In an 8-12 team, yes (with limits like top 10/25/etc).
     
  6. BAY0U BENGAL

    BAY0U BENGAL I'm a Chinese Bandit

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    I get that, but NOT being conference champions, and being not even second place in said conference, shouldn’t get a participation trophy, either.
     
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  7. lsu-i-like

    lsu-i-like Playoff advocate

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    Gotta look at whole resume, not just conference.
     
  8. BAY0U BENGAL

    BAY0U BENGAL I'm a Chinese Bandit

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    So is that play-by-play?
     
  9. BornOnTheBayou

    BornOnTheBayou 2022 Masters Pick 'Em Champion

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  10. LSUTiga

    LSUTiga TF Pubic Relations

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    Does USC losing let Ohio St back in?
     

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