This whole hurricane business is putting a serious hamper on my fall seasonal levels of intoxication from tailgating. It's also doing a pretty good job of undermining the excitement of college football. :cuss:
That orange one worries me. Only because they are been trying to get this thing turn to the north and it just keeps going west. And that orange one has it going more west then the others!
From what I read that model uses mainly historical information and doesn't take into account the current state of the atmosphere. They say it is used to show a "no skill" level of accuracy and is used primarily as a baseline to measure other forecasts. CLP5 is short for Cliper5. Hope that eases the mind. I would attach the .pdf but I'm still waiting for my contributor status to kick back in. Apparently Pay Pal + my bank = slow. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/verification/pdfs/Verification_2007.pdf
The one that goes farther to the southwest and then makes the huge bend to the right and hits New orleans head on!
ah gotcha. yeah i saw that one. I just treated that one as flawed since it was so different than the other models.