The Warming is a fact that continues to assert itself. It ought to be taken seriously. Sadly, there are those who seem not to understand that weather and climate are not synonyms. When it snowed in Ascension Parish last year, the forums were cluttered with sarcastic remarks about Global Warming. With the wealth of knowledge that is presently available and often unavoidable, ignorance is simply unpardonable. tgsam
But the scientific consensus does. The existence of dissenting views is part of science, but it does not invalidate the mainstream conclusions. This BBC writer is not even a scientist and the conclusions he draws are meaningless. He imagines that an 8-year relatively flat spot on a graph that has been steadily rising for centuries somehow challenges the findings of thousands of professional climatologists. Then he cites Pier Corbyn who has a "revolutionary" theory that he "plans" to tell the international scientific community at a conference in London. Here is how Wikipedia describes Piers Corbyn. If Corbyn actually publishes a scientific paper, presents it to a proper body of climatologists, and it survives scientific scrutiny, then we may call it science and let it revolutionize what it may. I'm not holding my breath.
well the fact that the lack of a rise was not predicted does not strengthen the case for warming. the scientists genuinely do not know what will happen. they have some theories, but their predictions have not been so great. the ice melts faster than they thought, the coral is destroyed quicker, the sea rises faster, the temperature changes less.
if we are being taught that we are at the precipice of massive changes that we need to stop NOW, it would help if we didnt have to go back to the late 90's to find evidence of this thing that is about to kill us NOW. anyways, i dont expect the scientists to be able to predict the long term trends any more than i expect them to predict the short term fluctuations. i am 100% certain that if the last 8 years had been warmer instead of cooler or the same, we would have never heard the end of it, it would not have been a meaningless fluctuation in the data, it would have been an urgent call for big government solutions. and these solutions would have been infinitely better at managing the guilt of humans than it would have been the environment.
others have won the award based mostly on promise. i feel less embarassed for them. "He likened this year’s award to the one in 1971, which recognized Willy Brandt, the chancellor of West Germany, and his “Ostpolitik” policy of reconciliation with Communist Eastern Europe. “Brandt hadn’t achieved much when he got the prize, but a process had started that ended with the fall of the Berlin Wall,” Mr. Jagland said. “The same thing is true of the prize to Mikhail Gorbachev in 1990, for launching perestroika. One can say that Barack Obama is trying to change the world, just as those two personalities changed Europe.”" http://www.nytimes.com/2009/10/10/world/10oslo.html?_r=1&fta=y and " Any member of a national legislature, any professor of the social sciences and several other categories of people are free to submit nominations, and someone usually puts forward the name of the American president. That was true this year, even though Mr. Obama had been in office less than two weeks when the deadline hit. This year the panel did not settle on a winner until Monday," and " their unanimous vote for President Obama. The committee is overtly political, ... Because it is chosen to reflect roughly the balance of party strength in Norway, the current committee has members across the spectrum, from the Socialist Left Party to the far-right Progress Party. "
i think this is quite clearly what is being suggested by the mainstream left. we must act now! we need carbon tax now! alternative energy now! i understand you are not a gore fan. but he is the standard-bearer on this issue for the left. and he says quite specifically that we are on the verge of massive destruction. the end of civilization.
We must start now because it takes decades to work. Nobody has suggested that there is an imminent catastrophe. And you know it.