Originally posted by Red: Apparently, according the skeptics of global warming, CO2 levels in the atmosphere were much higher in the past. They claim much earlier levels of CO2 in the order of 20x higher than at the present and the earth was not appreciably warmer. (my understanding of what they say) As far as I can tell the skeptics argue we could double the current levels of CO2 in the atmosphere and it would have no effect on the climate. The CO2 soaks up only the light in a certain wavelength and there is already enough CO2 to absorb the current amount of light that falls within that wavelenght. The sun will not produce more energy in the appropriate wavelength just because there is more CO2 in the atmosphere. So, according to these guys the added CO2 would not increase the greenhouse effect. the link: Cold Facts on Global Warming Another quote from the same article listed above: I don't blame you if you don't bother to watch the video, it's very long but if you get time to sit through it at least you get to hear a more eloquent defense of the skeptics position than I'm able to produce. the link: YouTube - Lord Christopher Monckton Speaking at Bethel University
Given the fact that human industrialization is unique in the history of planet earth, we cannot really expect geologic historical precedent for human-caused, CO2-triggered climate change. We must accept what we observe today. Surely it is not far-fetched that unprecedented consequences would follow from unprecedented events. But putting this crucial point aside, history does indeed provide some relevant insights and dire warnings. During the Pleistocene glacial/interglacial cycles, the geologic period just before our own with the most evidence remaning, temperatures and CO2 concentrations showed remarkable correlation. I understand what you are saying now, but not the thought process of the authors of this concept, since you have no link. I'm not sure I can accept the notion that "The sun will not produce more energy in the appropriate wavelength just because there is more CO2 in the atmosphere" without some evidence or explanation. What wavelength is deemed "appropriate?" How do they account for the temperature and CO2 correlations already documented? Who has challenged them? Ah, our old friend, Lord Christopher Monckton. YEs, I have seen it. I really hate to keep debunking your experts, but . . . From Wikipedia: Christopher Walter Monckton, 3rd Viscount Monckton of Brenchley (born 14 February 1952) is a British politician and business consultant, policy advisor, writer, and inventor. He served as an advisor to conservative Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher's policy unit in the 1980s and invented the Eternity puzzle at the end of the 1990s. More recently, he has attracted controversy for his public opposition to the mainstream scientific consensus on global warming. He was educated at Harrow School, Churchill College, Cambridge where he read classics and University College, Cardiff, where he obtained a diploma in journalism. Monckton played a key role in a legal challenge heard in the High Court of Justice in October 2007 in a bid to prevent An Inconvenient Truth from being shown in English schools. [censorship?] The American Physical Society added a disclaimer to the top of Monckton's article stating: "...Its conclusions are in disagreement with the overwhelming opinion of the world scientific community. The Council of the American Physical Society disagrees with this article's conclusions." In a response, Monckton called the APS "red flag" "discourteous" and claimed his paper had been "scientifically reviewed in meticulous detail". Notwithstanding, Arthur Smith, long-time member at the APS Forum, has identified 125 errors, irrelevancies, and contradictions in the article.
I must be having a problem with this link thing, thought I had one working in the last post. Will try again: Cold Facts on Global Warming Red, you know you can't use wikipedia as a reference! :wink: Don't you see the difficulty here, the gentleman in question produces a paper debunking the "consensus" on global warming. So those in question who support global warming counter with a paper debunking his arguments. One of them is correct and one of them is incorrect. Whether they are incorrect is difficult to say but I would certainly be more skeptical if there are massive financial implications involved.... I wonder if the Society in question was honest enough to point out the areas of agreement with Monckton? And what about the IPCC report? Did the APS point out any errors, irrelevancies and contradictions in that report? Are you telling me there aren't any errors in the IPCC report? Is it in fact peer-reviewed in the strict sense? I have read that it is not. Of course, those who say it is not will be debunked by those who support it. I am ignorant of what normal peer-review procedure is. Maybe you are not. What is the case with the IPCC report, in your opinion. I would be curious to find out regarding the peer-review status. Are you so thorough in your review of those that put together the IPCC report? Is the head of the IPCC a scientist or an engineer? Why don't you dismiss him? Have you looked into the claims of funny business in the IPCC report including the supposed "medieval warm period" cover up? How about the manipulations of the graphs in the report by moving the starting date? Are there indeed cases of documents going missing and others being left wholly out of the final product? Finally, I respectfully disagree with your assertion that "your experts" are any more credible than "mine". I would argue that your experts have a vested interest in the climate change propaganda and more than willing to go along on the gravy train.
How about the hockey stick controversy? Did they make an honest mistake with the first version or did they conveniently leave out the warmer periods in our climate to fit the desired outcome? Could it be they are massaging the numbers to achieve the desired result? ]
One last post before i close up shop for the day. Here is the link: .: U.S. Senate Committee on Environment and Public Works :: Minority Page :. In addition: And lastly, doesn't sound like much of a consensus to me....but then again maybe they are all kooks....?
And as far as debunking experts go because they are not trained "climatologists"......how about: Rajendra Pachauri, Head of the IPCC from wikipedia. A man with an admittedly solid background in Engineering? I never heard you complain about his credentials....odd, don't you think? also, in regard to his scientific integrity: and the link: Tom Nelson: Still more brazen fraud from the IPCC chief Originally posted by Red: I'm getting a little unsure about our assessment of the facts here. Is there a consensus? I've quoted several "experts" who say there is not. Popular science and real science? Which is which here.....what most of the population has been led to believe about global warming or what the actual evidence is in regard to global warming? Seems like there are problems in the story here. Real experts and phony experts? How do you determine that? By education? Only climatologist are allowed to speak on the matter....unless of course you toe the complany line and then we will let an engineer be in charge of the IPCC. Who is bullchitting who here? What matters is the truth and facts. Fact: The IPCC report contained an erroneous graph that distorted the facts in favor of global warming. Or do you dispute that? Fact: Climate models are not evidence. Fact: The climate was in the middle ages much warmer than today.....before industrialization. Fact: Consensus of opinion (even if there was one) is not evidence. Sorry to be so hard on you, Red. I just can't take the holier than thou, "the science is indisputable" line anymore.
I don't even do that unless it's necessary. No. a link to any supporting evidence will do or a reference to a legitimate scientific challenge, iike you did with Evans. But links to Kooks "31,000" lists, I will challenge. Not really. There are a large number of opinionated people who reject AGW. But there is a clear and compelling consensus among the world's climatological experts, see my earlier post. Plus, as I have pointed out, the existence of dissent simply does not invalidate widely accepted scientific conclusions. You continue to confuse AGW scientists conclusions with AGW political advocates positions. If I can get you understand this difference, I will be happy. But I object strenuously to your unattributed notion of applying guilt by association to this subject. In your mind, some gun control kooks must also favors environmental action, which includes favoring global warming reduction policies, therefore the expert scientists conclusions must be wrong about global warming because these gun control kook are wrong about our AK-47s. Tell me. How do you define what you call "bad science". Is it subjective, based on whether you like the politics you associate with it? Science is self-policing and those that practice it badly find it difficult to keep working in it. I think there is only real science and phony science. Dissent is vital to science, I've said it many times. It nudges the mainstream opinion back on course and on rare occasions reroutes it. But it essential to understand that a few dissenting voices do not invalidate scientific consensus. Plus science is not "constantly" realizing it was wrong and fixing it. Science evolves in a steady and incremental fashion. Revolutions and reversals are exceedingly rare. The evidence for evolution is overwhelming and is proved beyond doubt. As is all science more is learned every day, but Darwin is still an great expert and a giant icon in Science. Politics again, for God's sake!. You really, really want to believe that communists and climatologists are in league. Sorry, its a fantasy. Why, . . . yes there is great truth in that . . . :lol: There is always the other side of the argument in science. But if it's promoted by a small minority, it's the usually wrong side.
yes, the fact that their conclusions and predictions are proven wrong consistently by reality does a good enough job. the global warming community is consistently and spectacularly wrong predicting the climate. they simply dont understand it. but they certainly want you to think they understand it. what good is a scientist that doesnt have any useful information?
Where did financial interests come into play here? You are trying to distract from the issue. Monckton is simply not the expert he claims to be and has not convinced anybody in the scientific world or in a scientific manner. At long last, can you not realize that some guy who lectures his theories on matters outside his field cannot dismiss the published conclusions of the IPCC. He isn't taken seriously as an expert. You are grasping at straws. The IPCC report is fully documented. If you find an error and want to discuss it, feel free. You are misinformed if you think the IPCC is not peer reviewed. The IPCC Peer Review Process Make your case if you think you have one. Be prepared to defend it. You have no experts. I have no experts. The experts exist and their opinions are on record. You can't cherrypick a few dissenters that you like and dismiss the vast majority. Well, you can, . . . but it's the road to being wrong. You have no idea at all how the scientific process works, do you?
There is an ongoing debate about statistical parameters used to construct northern hemisphere mean temperature changes over the past millennium. You offer some lurid suggestions above without having established that any mistakes were made, figures falsified, or numbers massaged. So, make your case. Be specific. Let me point out that the existence of scientific debate on statistical matters does not invalidate AGW.