Obama will not win

Discussion in 'Free Speech Alley' started by LSUTiga, May 8, 2012.

  1. mctiger

    mctiger RIP, and thanks for the music Staff Member

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    The problem is not the calculation, its the interpretation. Pride's point would have been made better by quoting the previous paragraph of the story:

    An economic development expert taught me a long time ago that the most important number on a jobs report is the total available work force, not the unemployment rate. If people leave the work force, the unemployment percentage drops, but that's misleading, because the uninformed believe that means jobs have been created.
     
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  2. LSUDad

    LSUDad Veteran Member

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    This, you also have the people that have taken jobs not in their field, just to have employment. 4.4 million people have dropped out of the labor force since Obama took office. Jobs??

     
  3. red55

    red55 curmudgeon Staff Member

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    Look at your graph. It is obvious that the retirement of the Baby Boomers is affecting the curve. The bulge began in the late 1960's when the Boomers began to impact the workforce and now the decline has started. Much of the total available work force is retired and not coming back.
     
  4. LSUpride123

    LSUpride123 PureBlood

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    So after the boomers, people just said fuck it?

    You are smarter than this i believe...
     
  5. red55

    red55 curmudgeon Staff Member

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    Smart enough to read a graph and understand the demographics. Look, when the baby boom joined the workforce, it cause the curve to go up more steeply than normal. Now that they are leaving the workforce, it has caused the curve to go down. More people are retiring than are joining the workforce.
     
  6. LSUDad

    LSUDad Veteran Member

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    Speaking of Boomers.....

    With the oldest of the Baby Boomers entering their mid-60's, many, around 75% will keep working. The biggest reasons they are giving...

    36%-Poor Economy.
    16%-Lack of Faith in SS and the Government.
    15%-Change in employment situation.
    13%-Can't afford to retire.
    10%-Cost of living in retirement will be higher than expected.

    Source: Employee Benefit Research Institute.
     
  7. southerntgr

    southerntgr Veteran Member

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    geez, you are slacking. page one of this thread.
     
  8. LSUpride123

    LSUpride123 PureBlood

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    Umm. So the population increased over that same time, yet we have less of a workforce?

    Got it...
     
  9. LSUDad

    LSUDad Veteran Member

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    In the three years that Obama has been president, the civilian population has grown by about 7.7 million people to 242,435,000.
     
  10. red55

    red55 curmudgeon Staff Member

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    Indeed. Much of the population are children or elderly and not a part of the work force. The ongoing retirement of the Baby Boomers will obviously swell this non-working element of the population.

    Look at the curve below, doesn't that dome-shaped swelling of the birth rate curve between 1945 and 1965 look remarkably like the dome-shaped swelling of the curve in the labor force curve above? And it falls right into the time frame that it should when the baby boom moved through the labor force. The correlation is clear.

    [​IMG]
     

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