Obama Wants To Raise Your Electric Bill

Discussion in 'Free Speech Alley' started by Speedo Bandit, Jul 2, 2009.

  1. red55

    red55 curmudgeon Staff Member

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    Plan to.

    Gee, we were expecting you to pay for all of it . . . You personally. Only you.
     
  2. SabanFan

    SabanFan The voice of reason

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    Right. That's what I'm saying. :dis:
     
  3. shaqazoolu

    shaqazoolu Concentrated Awesome

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    How about everyone that thinks spending money on reducing global warming ponies up and pays for whatever it takes to fix whatever someone else says is broken. People that think it is either pointless to throw money at it or a stupid topic for politicians to get involved in period (guilty on both counts) can keep their money and spend it on buying a house or food or LSU stuff or anything else...since that will help the economy...you know, something that matters.

    When the atmosphere is lined with money and it keeps the sun from making us sweat a little bit, you guys can take all the credit. I won't mind at all.
     
  4. jibboo

    jibboo Founding Member

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    Nooo. I'm not! I'm just dumb Cajun with a rudimentary working knowledge of thermodynamics, heat transfer, and fininte element methods. Basic stuff. I can do a heat balance. There are lots of folks like me. Many with more indepth knowlege. We tend to be educated, but nerdy folks. Introverted. We don't seek the limelight and aren't -as a group- politically active. But I'm convinced we're going to have to become so. Otherwise we will be subservient to a bunch of folks parroting politicians possesing nefarious agendas. That doesn't seem like a good future to me.

    I usually stay quiet on these things. As red55 correctly points out there's no persuading some folks. Quite frankly, it's draining. I put a lot of thought into it. But every now and then I pipe up; because... I could actually be wrong. I'm interested in what others have to offer. But "global warmists" always want to agure using consensus, flawed methods, distorted charts, and slurs like "flat-earthers". Never thermodynamics. That doesn't mean they are wrong. It just means they don't know what they're talking about.

    If anyone's interested in doing some research, this Congressional testimony is a good primer (though not final answer): [Link to PDF File]
     
  5. jibboo

    jibboo Founding Member

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    One *can* use a hammer to drive a screw into a wall. Or a M1 Abrams to kill a fly. That doesn’t make it the proper tool.

    Linearizing an equilibrium system is akin with pulling a guitar string, letting it go, and expecting it to keep moving in the same direction. A dynamic system will have a response and return to it’s equilibrium point.

    The graph is useless. It only depicts a small portion of KNOWN global warming that started 10-15,000 years ago. The fact that the earth is warmer now than at the end of the last ice age is inarguable. Assuming CO2 and temperature are correlated (not causal); you'd need to start your "normal" temperature from the same time the CO2 anomaly started. Look at this chart.

    [​IMG]

    The “mean” temperature should be set at -10,000 years ago. Not 1961. A 29-year “mean” isn’t statistically significant in a system with a cyclic period of 70,000 years. A “anomalous” 0.4-deg rise since 1961 could simply the continuation of a longer “anomalous” cycle that’s on the order of 10’s of degrees. It’s well within the noise of the signal.

    [​IMG]

    The entire “anomaly” depicted in the IPCC chart has been experienced before, long before man was producing anthropomorphic CO2. I don’t think the Vikings had cars or coal powered electric plants. I could be wrong though. IOW your posted chart doesn't show an anomaly in neither magnitude nor rate.

    Do I really need a source to back up that man was not producing significant amounts CO2 before the use of fossil fuels were put to use widely in the early 20th century? The current warming period started abruptly about 10-15,000 years ago. No cars, coal plants, or energy generation back then.

    IOW it doesn’t really say *anything* about the future. If you want to say it’s stochastic; quantify the odds.

    I don’t consider the fruits of MY labor anyone else’s property other than mine. It has nothing to do with climate modeling… until someone uses that flawed modeling to take my money. I don’t let someone on the street put their hand in my wallet just because it’s a hot day.

    If the politicians want to tax energy companies because they have a vendetta, that’s fine with me. But call it what it is. Get it done *honestly*. Don’t use a ruse to hoodwink the uneducated to get it done. Why is it so important to politicians that global warming be caused by man?

    My “dogma” is based on elementary easily verifiable laws of classical thermodynamics. Try a simple experiment to get a feel for how much heat air with an elevated concentration of CO2 holds. Put your fingertips about 8 inches away from your lips. Blow slowly. Then slowly move your fingers closer to your mouth. As you do can easily feel the temperature go up. It can’t even hold heat from your lungs long enough for the air to reach your fingertips. And that temperature differential is 5x larger than the “anomaly” figures quoted in the IPCC.

    If you want more detailed calculations of how much (or little) heat CO2 holds based on observed data see here…

    [See Here]
     
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  6. SabanFan

    SabanFan The voice of reason

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    It's gonna take Red about a week to google up a response to that one.
     
  7. shaqazoolu

    shaqazoolu Concentrated Awesome

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  8. red55

    red55 curmudgeon Staff Member

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    In other words . . . yes.

    I know. But you seem to be suggesting that the bulk of the world's climatological opinion is invalid because of this mathematical principal. I think it's more complex than that.

    About the time that human agriculture and deforestation began. Not suggesting causality, but that some human impacts do predate the industrial era. However a study of the effects of industrial contributions to current warming is properly conducted in the last 300 years.

    The "mean" should be set at the beginning? Since the intend of the graph was to depict the steepening since the industrial era, I do not see why a 10,000 year old mean is useful. I'm not sure exactly why the IPCC picked the 1961-1990 period as the mean, but it is a datum that is useful to the study being near the middle of the time recorded and the time projected.

    Indeed. But they are making shorter-term projections here of climate within our interglacial period, they are not projecting in geologic time scales. A 30-year mean (1961-1990) within a study frame of 300 years is not unreasonable.

    The fact that man-made contributions to greenhouse gases can be documented does not render natural contributors moot. I'm not a climatologist either, but the experts considered the natural cycles in the IPCC report when concurring that there is a human-induced element that is steepening the curve.

    No one has suggested that humans affect glacial cycles, only that we have significantly affected the climate in which we live in the 21st century.

    That ain't what I said. An estimate of potential is "something" known about the future, even if no process on earth can foretell exactly what will happen.

    That's a question for the politicians. Why do others refuse to consider even the possibility?

    I understand. But climatology is bit more complex than elementary mathematics. Are you really suggesting that they are all deluded about their own discipline?
     
  9. red55

    red55 curmudgeon Staff Member

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    Wrong . . . once again.
     
  10. SabanFan

    SabanFan The voice of reason

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    You didn't respond other than to say you disagree. jibboo 2 Red 0.
     

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