I don't know about all this stuff but it seems bad news to me that after Obama announced his VP he didn't get any more of a bump than he did. They still seem to be pretty even and McCain hasn't even announced his VP yet.
obama has been quiet for a few weeks. i suspect working on strategy, who to pick for vp, I like Biden. I suspect mapping out the last of the campaign, convention speech, what issues to focus on in his ads the last couple of months, where McCain will attach, how, and how to defend, and where to attack McCain. Some will be a surprise, and the campaign will have to think on their feet, but 80% will be planned ads. I haven't seen an obama ad in Tx. so I suspect they have written it off and will not spend money here.
You hope. He's inexperienced enough to do something real stupid. Michelle, for one thing is a polarizing force, yet she's kicking the thing off for Obama. I hope the country doesn't do something to make her angry.
i dont know the poll #s, but are you sure she is polarizing to the 30% of the voters that matter? i would imagine that she is much less polarizing to women --especially the clinton backers he is woooooing.
The polls say otherwise. McCain's moderate brand appeals to a large portion of Clinton's base. Cnn's latest says 27% of registered Democrats who voted Clinton will be voting McCain in November. Thats about 4.5 million people. This is post biden, and that number is up over 10% since June. I said back in June that selecting Obama would cost the Dems the White House. I'm sticking to my guns. I don't see Obama appealing much to middle America.
There is a lot of talk about Hillarys voters going over to McCain . . . and its all coming from desperate Republicans. They have a full-court press on right now to try to split Hillary's moderates from Obama. But at this week's convention you are going to see Hillary endorse Obama and throw him all her support, get her moderate planks in the Democratic platform, and deliver the blue-collar. Sir William of Smooth will support him with all of his charm and deliver the progressives. Even Republican women elected him twice. Ted Frickin' Kennedy will hobble out and deliver the hard left. And Biden will have all of the pragmatists lined up. Then watch those CNN numbers drop. This election has been scripted beautifully so far by the Obamatrons. They plan to peak in November, not in August.
Really? I thought it was coming from polls of democrats? Like the ones you listed before? And while I may concede that losing 10% of Hillary voters to McCain will not cause a loss for Obama(I still believe it will, but's it's close), you have yet to accept that Obama will lose if he loses the Hillary voters that the polls reflect he will as of today. Your polls buddy. Don't go off on a tangent about the convention, about November, about anything else except the polls you linked. Those polls show a loss of 4-6 million votes of democratic voters, not undecided, or republicans. If the race is anywhere near as close as the last one(3 million vote difference), 4-6 million out of your base can not be afforded. Claiming that 15 public figures for the Repubs is the same is incorrect and you just need to admit it. Hillary supporting anyone else but herself is something nobody has ever seen before. We will see if she is really capable of it or not.
