No. USC has to lose, there's no doubt about that. Florida winning could still get LSU to #4, but only if the human polls put USC below LSU (and do you trust that to happen?). Therefore, final BCS standings: 1. Ohio State 2. Michigan 3. Florida 4. ? ? ? ? Is that LSU or possibly USC having fallen just 2 spots after a loss. My guess is a loss to a non top 25 team like UCLA will be enough to put LSU ahead of USC in the human polls. The computer polls have the potential to be split right down the middle between the 4 and 5 spot (USC/LSU). The human polls would then decide who finishes 4th. The larger the margin of victory by UCLA, the better the chances.
No, I don't, but it should. If that happens, USC will have lost to two unranked teams. The end. (I wish.)
Oh you misunderstood me isl, I'm talking for a guaranteed automatic bid, that would have to happen. There is no guarantee that if USC loses and Florida wins, that Florida isn't vaulted up to #2 leaving Michigan taking Paragraph 5.
Wow, never thought of that one. The Rose Bowl does NOT have to pick Michigan. We are all assuming they will based on the rich tradition of Pac 10 vs Big 10 matchups. They only have to pick a Pac 10 or Big 10 champ, if they are available. That's the only prerequisite thrust upon them by BCS rules (I am sure the Rose Bowl is the one who actually demanded this rule). That being said, Michigan is 99.9 percent in the Rose Bowl, should USC win.
yes, this is true. And I am actually working on the chances that Florida could vault into the #2 slot, should they beat the living crap out of Arkansas in the SEC CG and USC lose. The chances are not as far fetched as most (myself included) thought previously. If that would happen, then LSU would be taken by the Sugar if the Rose didn't take us. That crazy scenario is not likely, but has some legs (albeit thin little chicken legs).