Look at Auburn, talent ranked by the recruiting services higher than ours (i pointed this out last year and just read an article also proving it yesterday), they have great coordinators that fail after fail. Look at the DCs at Georgia over the years, same thing. Have you never played for a new coach and a new system before?
Add Florida's back to back star new OCs that failed miserable in year one. Add all those recent star coordinators Mack Brown has been getting recently over there at Texas. Remember that dream team of coaches Tennessee thought they had that year? Add Monte Kiffin, one of the best in NFL history: #7 defense in the Pac 12 his first year at USC, same as last year.
They were preseason #6 last year, finished #5. This year, if go they 2-2 in their four big games (LSU, SC, Florida, @Clemson), and beat everybody else they finish the regular season ranked #6/#7 and their preseason #5 wouldn't be far off. Those first Vegas lines, on the other hand, have Georgia favored in every game and going 12-0. If that happens, Georgia will be #1 or #2
I've been a tiger fan for a long time, and every year, this time, I think in my heart of hearts that we're going to kick ass and..."
They've choked on Florida for over a decade, during the Richt era. Finally, barely, get past Florida during the urban mess and choke on South Carolina for the last three years. The schedule and the complete restructure of the defensive personnel suggest not 5th.