Actually Kansas and Arizona State have the most to gain from all of this insanity. Mark my words, an unbeaten KU or ASU, from a BCS conference, will jump any 1 loss team like LSU at the end of the season. I am saying IF they finish undefeated, they will jump all the 1-loss teams. Several more teams have to lose before LSU slips in a national title game.
Where's OSU's loss gonna come from? They have Michigan State, Penn State on the road, Wisconsin, Illinois, and Michigan on the road to finish their season.
Will not happen. KU will likely get flattened by OU in the Big-12 championship game, and even if they win, their SOS is a big liability. ASU hasn't really begun to play their Pac-10 schedule yet, with home games against Cal and USC, and Oregon on the road, all in a span of 4 weeks.
This is a fairly accurate statement. LSU is already gaining on BC in the human polls, since BC was already ahead of USF but LSU wasn't. An impressive win by LSU (ala the score above my avatar) would put LSU right on the heels of BC. Here is a rough estimate of the adjusted standings: 1. Ohio State....... .9567 (old .9416) 2. BC.................. .9080 (old .8906) 3. LSU................ .8777 (old .8400) 4. SC................. .7810 (old .7432) 5. OU................. .7760 (old .7623) South Carolina has temporarily jumped OU in the BCS as they jump USF in every computer poll, whereas OU doesn't jump USF in but maybe 1 or 2 computer polls. Oklahoma's game vs Iowa State (1-6) this weekend will only hurt their computer rankings further. SC will gain on OU in human votes as well, since OU was already ranked ahead of USF in some of the human voters rankings (SC was ranked behind USF in almost every human voters rankings). Notice LSU has already made a considerable dent in the gap between themselves and BC. A huge win over Auburn, as noted earlier, will bring us that much closer. Passing BC, probably not. But it will get really close.
Good post and thanks for the detailed analysis. I'm left wondering who is the LSU of 2003? If you look down the schedule there are a lot of games still left to play for 1 loss teams against quality opponents. Of course the 1 loss teams without a conference championship hurts them unlike when LSU used it's win over Georgia in 2003 to jump USC. Bottom line, our position is perfect if we take care of business. Of course the SECCG is going to be huge for both teams I suspect. I'm personally hoping for a 1 loss team from the East SEC to make things seem as close to a playoff experience as possible. It would be cool if the top 4 BCS ranked teams were in two conference championship games with all the marbles on the table. Of course that would be almost impossible to have happen. Looks like its shaping up to be a wild finish. We need to be loud like a 4.5 quake in Death Valley this Satruday night. :geauxtige:crystal::crystal::geauxtige
Look at tOSU's opponents to this point. That remaining schedule is a gauntlet by comparison. Their defense has been impressive, but, again, you have to consider the competition. They'll be lucky to win 3 of those games. If they run the table, they deserve their props.
As long as Boston College loses (Virginia Tech should take care of them next Thursday) we don't even need Ohio State to lose. Hell, we may leapfrog Boston College even if they don't lose. I sort of hope that happens to cause more controversy in the BCS system. Then we beat Ohio State soundly for the national championship, showing yet again that the best of the Big Ten can't compete.