If the election were held today those electorial vote figures could be significant. Fortunately it will not be held until November.
No, but I support their position on these issues, isn't that glaringly obvious? And you defend the Republican denial of science and imposition of religious beliefs on others. How can you do that?
Chance of winning Romney 30.3% +1.9 since Aug. 11 Obama 69.7% -1.9 since Aug. 11 http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/
Just an update of where we stand in the electoral college math as each party heads into their respective conventions. Before listing the "swing" states and the current margins for each, let me say that Pennsylvania and Missouri have been removed from the "swing" state column. Pennsylvania now appears to be solidly Obama and Missouri appears to be solidly Romney. Polling in each of these states has the leader ahead by a few points outside the margin of error. The numbers listed beside each swing state represent the lead that either candidate currently holds in state polling for the month of August. So..... this leaves us looking like this: Obama - 221 electoral votes safely on his side or leaning heavily. Romney - 191 electoral votes safely on his side or leaning heavily. North Carolina (Romney up by 0.7%) 15 electoral votes Virginia (Obama up by 0.6%) 13 electoral votes Iowa (Obama up by 1%)6 electoral votes Florida (Obama up by 1%) 29 electoral votes Wisconsin (Obama up by 1.4%) 10 electoral votes Ohio (Obama up by 1.4%) 18 electoral votes Colorado (Obama up by 1.6%) 9 electoral votes Michigan (Obama up by 2%) 16 electoral votes New Hampshire (Obama up by 3.5%) 4 electoral votes Nevada (Obama up by 4.2%) 6 electoral votes It should be noted that New Hampshire and Nevada are quickly approaching the point that they will shift into the Obama column which will leave Obama with 231 electoral votes. Only 270 are needed to win. It is certainly not impossible for Romney-Ryan to win this election but there will need to be a significant shift in Independent support, especially in the swing states. One thing that is very apparent is that the undecided voters are becoming fewer and fewer in polling samples that I am seeing in the past month; a trend I would expect to continue from here to election day.
