I spent some time in rural Southwest the past few weeks. Trump has lost no love out there. The big cities trump the rural counties though. Biden wins. I just don't see that Trump gained support over the past 4 years. He most likely lost support. Just enough to put Biden over in some swing states.
I think it’s about who gets out their 45%.... I think the debate highlighted that Trump isn’t trying to convince undecideds, it was about energizing the base... who gets out the base wins....