All reports are that the race is tightening but his info paints a picture that biden is running away with it. Noone really knows and wont know until election night.
https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/514215-trump-biden-race-tightens-as-both-sides-expect-close-race Trump-Biden race tightens as both sides expect close race By Alexander Bolton - 08/31/20 06:00 AM EDT "President Trump has lagged Joe Biden badly in the polls for much of 2020, but strategists in both parties predict his numbers will rise and the race will tighten as the Republican Party consolidates further behind him this fall. There are already signs that the race is tightening. In Michigan, Biden’s average polling lead dropped from 8.4 percentage points on July 28 to 2.6 percent a month later, according to the average of polls kept by RealClearPolitics, while in Pennsylvania Biden’s average lead dipped from 7.4 points to 5.8 points during the same period. In Wisconsin, Biden’s average polling lead stood at 6.4 points on July 28 and narrowed to 3.5 points on Aug. 26, according to RealClearPolitics. Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin are the three traditionally Democratic states that Trump won in 2016 to stun Hillary Clinton. He is likely to need wins in at least two of those states, if not all three, to win reelection. Strategists say the tightening is a reflection of voters starting to look at the race more seriously and partisan allegiances kicking in. “Given how polarized and closely balanced our country is, it only makes sense the polls would tighten somewhat,” said Whit Ayres, a Republican pollster."
I was going to put together a %swing from pre DNC/RNC conventions/riots to now. I'd imagine it heavily favors Trump.
Right... NC uses data from Nate Silver, who's supposedly an election prediction guru and shows Biden winning in a landslide. But then there's Helmut Norpoth, who's supposedly an election prediction guru and shows Trump winning in a landslide. So who really knows??
this is a good read: https://www.redstate.com/brandon_morse/2020/08/31/poll-suppression-trump/ Rasmussen Blows the Whistle on “National Poll Suppression” as Trump Closes the Gap "President Donald Trump is overtaking Joe Biden, but you’d never know that because the polls containing this information are being hidden. According to Rasmussen, one of America’s most popular polling firms, there is actual evidence pointing to the fact that Trump is doing far better than the media portray but this is being withheld from the public."
