Donald Trump's Road to 1237

Discussion in 'Free Speech Alley' started by islstl, Mar 20, 2016.

  1. lsu-i-like

    lsu-i-like Playoff advocate

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    Trump is the best option to change the system of what is left and is borrowing a lot from where Ron Paul left off. Republicans didn't want the sane guy to change things (went with moneybags Romney and warmonger McCain), nor his boring son, so now you got his crazy nephew.
     
  2. LSUMASTERMIND

    LSUMASTERMIND Founding Member

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    Is the math on his side?
     
  3. islstl

    islstl Playoff committee is a group of great football men Staff Member

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    I'll repost what I said yesterday (I assume you had not read all the posts in this thread):

    If you project just New York (95) and California (172, winner take all), Trump is dominating in New York polling on the order of getting about 70 percent of the vote. So that gives Trump approximately 67 delegates from New York and all 172 from California (dominating in that polling too). That puts him at 990 delegates, needing only 247 out of the remaining 665. That's only 37 %.

    All these pundits can't do some simple math otherwise they would be telling everyone that Trump has this pretty much locked up.

    Add on Pennsylvania (71, winner take all), New Jersey (51, winner take all) and Indiana (57, winner take all). three states where Trump holds double digit leads, that puts Trump at 1169, just 68 of the remaining 486 needed , or 14 %. Maryland and Delaware are most likely two more winner take all states Trump will win, with 54 more delegates going his way, leaving him with just 14 to get. He could easily get that in Rhode Island, where he is way ahead in the polls. That leaves 10 more states I haven't even mentioned, many of them proportional where Trump will get many many delegates (out of the 400 or so in those states).

    UNLESS THERE IS SOMETHING EARTH SHATTERING THAT FINALLY THWARTS TRUMP'S RUN TO THE NOMINATION, IT'S OVER.
     
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  4. Tiger in NC

    Tiger in NC There's a sucker born everyday...

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    I agree. I don't think there any chance that Cruz will catch Trump in delegates and certainly not Kasich. I do think there is a chance that it could go to the convention but, in truth, trying to deny Trump the nomination by parliamentary rules will only incite riots and violence I'm afraid. Now, what might be possible, and I've heard talk of, is the Republican establishment running a candidate as an independent with the hopes that they could force a situation where no candidate gets 270 electoral votes and the election would literally go to the House floor for a vote where the outcome would almost certainly be in favor of the establishment candidate. Personally, I do not think it will matter; Clinton will win the General in a landslide. That said, I do not think this will be good for our democracy for the simple fact that many people will be forced into voting for a candidate that they do not like just because they dislike the other candidate worse.
     
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  5. Winston1

    Winston1 Founding Member

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  6. Tiger in NC

    Tiger in NC There's a sucker born everyday...

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    I suppose with her hour per day she can run around the prison yard.......

    I mean, this is what you want me to say right?

    I know you, and many others like you, are hopeful that she will be indicted but it will not happen and, as I've said before, it will be because she has not broken any laws. Danced all around them.....yes....broken them.....no. Will it still be a political liability for her? Sure, and it already is.
     
  7. shane0911

    shane0911 Helping lost idiots find their village

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    FIFY
     
  8. LSUTiga

    LSUTiga TF Pubic Relations

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    Again. This will be like the 3rd Presidential election in a row.

    Have you seen the recent polls? That land slide is quickly slipping away. Hell even ol Bernie started out at 3% and has made it interesting. Wait til Trump latches on to her ol wrinkled white ass.
     
  9. Bengal B

    Bengal B Founding Member

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    You beat me me to it.. Everybody knows the lying cunt broke the law. Only way she doesn't get indicted is if the mooslem-in-chief quashes the process.
     
  10. shane0911

    shane0911 Helping lost idiots find their village

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    Her and her slickster hubby are guilty of at least 2 murders, almost assuredly quite a few more and idiots like gdf will elect her "because she was nice to my niece" that cunt hasn't been nice to anyone a day in her pathetic life. I swear I just might kill her.
     

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