From: GIORGI FILIPPO <
[email protected]>
To: Chapter 10 LAs -- Congbin Fu <
[email protected]>, GIORGI FILIPPO <
[email protected]>, Bruce Hewitson <
[email protected]>, Mike Hulme <
[email protected]>, Jens Christensen <
[email protected]>, Linda Mearns <
[email protected]>, Richard Jones <
[email protected]>, Hans von Storch <
[email protected]>, Peter Whetton <
[email protected]>
Subject: On "what to do?"
Date: Mon, 11 Sep 2000 16:58:02 +0200 (MET DST)
Dear All
we heard the opinions of most LAs, namely Jens, Richard, Linda, Peter,
and Hans as well as some interesting interpretations of my email (Linda says:
" You seem to be assuming that the most desirable result is
if the SRES results have no contrasts with the IS92a results.
I don't understand your reasoning on this."
[...]
Given this, I would like to add my own opinion developed through the weekend.
First let me say that in general, as my own opinion,
I feel rather
unconfortable about using not only unpublished but also un reviewed
material as the backbone of our conclusions (or any conclusions).
I realize that chapter 9 is including SRES stuff, and thus we can and need to do that too,
but the fact is that in doing so the rules of IPCC have been softened to the point that in this way the IPCC is not any more an assessment of published science (which is its proclaimed goal) but production of results. The softened condition that the models themself have to be published does not even apply because the Japanese model for example is very different from the published one which gave results not even close to the actual outlier version (in the old dataset the CCC model was the outlier).
Essentially, I feel that at this point there are very little rules and almost
anything goes. I think this will set a dangerous precedent which might mine the IPCC credibility, and I am a bit unconfortable that now nearly everybody seems to think that it is just ok to do this.
Anyways, this is only my opinion for what it is worth.
[...]
Cheers, Filippo
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