If LSU wins it'll be that UFC didn't deserve to be in the conversation. If UFC wins it'll be that LSU was overrated. A no-win either way for us.
I pick bowl games by trying to figure out who's happy to be there and who's not. Being LSU exceeded preseason expectations I would say we are glad to be in it, and win, but that last game was such a downer it could affect our mindset. On the other hand, UCF feels they deserve a shot at the final four so are not happy about backing into that game (if it ends up that way). What's worrisome in this particular scenario is that they might go in there with a chip on their shoulders and want to make a statement. Tough game to call imo.
What scares me is the fact that we have a history of not taking games like this seriously. We play "down to our competition" way too often.
I know UCF won w/o their injured QB, but I doubt that is sustainable. We expected to be looking for the remote on NYD, they hoped to be in final four. Advantage: Tigers!