That’s quite a leap. If you can analyze that deeply you’re in the wrong profession and should be a consultant for elections. What I’m pointing out is that Trump is losing in every state he needed in 2016. He’s also losing support in key constituencies that he needs to carry the states he won in the election.
I don't think its a leap at all. In '16 Trump won numerous states that the polls had him losing. I wouldn't trust the polls for a second...assuming an incumbent will carry the states he won the first time out is a perfectly reasonable place to start a discussion.
3 states. Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan. Every other state polling was correct. https://www.270towin.com/2016-polls-clinton-trump/ The final polling average is almost exactly the same as the popular vote turned out. https://www.realclearpolitics.com/e...rump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5952.html You guys like to say that the polling was wrong. Well, it was correct in 47 out of 50 states and the national polling was correct too.
Why would you assume this? Right now he is losing in Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Texas, Georgia and Ohio. Those are all states that he won. Here are the polling averages: Arizona - Biden 47, Trump 43 Florida - Biden 48, Trump 42 Michigan - Biden 48, Trump 41 North Carolina - Biden 47, Trump 44 Pennsylvania - Biden 49, Trump 41 Wisconsin - Biden 48, Trump 41 Texas - Biden 46, Trump 45 Georgia - Biden 48, Trump 45 Ohio - Biden 46, Trump 45 As you can see, assuming that Trump will win every state he won in 2016 is a stretch. https://www.270towin.com/2020-polls-biden-trump/ Also incorrect. If indeed Trump won every state that he won in 2016 (which is wishful at this point) except for Texas the count would be Biden 270 and Trump 268. https://www.270towin.com/maps/63y8b This is all irrelevant since Biden would have received 270 electoral votes with the win in Texas. Now go ahead and tell me how the polling is all wrong and that Trump is going to win anyway.
So, in your professional opinion if Trump loses it will be because he lost the election? Damn, now that's deep....LOL.
I suspect the selling out of Goya products is a better indicator of the National election than polls at this point.
And yet somehow the MSM was predicting better than a 90% chance that Hillary would win as the the East Coast polls were closing.
