Back to the scene of the earthquake

I believe that LSU ranks a little higher than AU at the moment in total defense stats. Will this (like AU - Arkansas) be another low-scoring game?

 

I think this game comes down to coaching. In the 2001 game, both coaches tried to out-do eachother (onside kicks) with Tubberville losing. Both teams have an incredible amount of talent. Can't wait till' Oct. 24.

 

I have to go with:

Offense: slight edge, LSU but big edge LSU if they get all the offensive firepower in synch

Defense: a tossup - both Ds capable of rising to the occasion

Special Teams: could turn out to be a big edge LSU If Carey is healthy and Green keeps up the good work. Donnie Jones is an outstanding punter but our field goal ability is still questionable.

Coaching: advantage, LSU Yes but Tubby can be a sneaky bastard sometimes. Thats why they call him a Riverboat Gambler

Intangibles: Intangibles change from week to week so the edge in intangibles can't be factored into the equation until almost kickoff time.

And thats all I'm going to say about the PlainWarTigerEagle game until after we fry up a bucket of ChickenCocks

 

Airline tickets? Where are you coming from? Nice post, BTW. I think I'll have to agree with LSUstudent. I have seen Auburn's defense lately, and it hasnt been stellar against pass oriented teams. Having said that, I have also noticed that no one can run on them. However, if our defense is healthy, I think they are one of the best in the league, at least. Auburn certainly has the advantage in the running game, and if our offense doesnt come together against quality defense soon, that will make the difference. We have to get a ground game going and let Mauck play instinctively. I think we will learn a lot this weekend against USC. They have a pretty good D, so Im hoping we can exploit their weaknesses.

 

LSU's D does rank high, but those rankings do not take into account the strength of opponents - Auburn's opponents have been significantly stronger (AU 75.81/ LSU 68.87...source- Sagarin).

JMHO, but these two teams are alot alike:
Team - YPG - PPG - Yds Allowed - Pts. Allowed
LSU - 378 - 35 - 237 - 10.3
AU - 335 - 22 - 263 - 12
LSU has 1 quality win, AU has 2. QB's are similar.

Here's where I see the big difference (IMHO)...... LSU has rushed for 105 and 56 yards respectivley against UGA & UF. I would be shocked if they can rush more than 60 yards total against Auburn's run-oriented D. Not to mention, LSU's OL is very weak between the tackles, and nobody runs outside against AU - nobody.

AU will force Mauck to pass - alot - and that is THE area of risk for LSU. Mauck has 5 INT's against 10 TD's - way too many for a 10 TD performance. AU's secondary is almost healed-up and I actually like the Hobbs (CB) matchup on Clayton - I think he can handle him. Clayton has only 10 catches for 114 yards in the past 3 games. Green will be the one that AU fears at WO, but especially on punt/kick returns. AU will attack the frosh Landry at FS, liberally using the TE's in patterns down the slot. And don't forget that AU knows Jimbo Fisher extremely well.

This game will likely come down to turnovers, and I like AU's chances there as well. AU has lost 5/8 fumbles while LSU has lost 8/14.

Keys for Auburn : (1) Run the ball well early, take the crowd out of it, (2) minimize turnovers, (3) shutdown LSU's run and force them to a one-dimensional attack. Teams that have limited LSU's rushing attack have caused frustration, which has led to penalties (22 of 32 penalties came against UGA & UF)

Keys for LSU: (1) Stop AU's rushing attack inside the red-zone, (2) get pressure on the QB - early & often, (3) use the kicking game to win the battle for field position.

Summary: If Addai & Carey were 100%, and the O-line was just a smidge better at drive blocking, I'd say LSU would win handily. But without the run, LSU will be challenged to put enough points on the board. AU will run, control the clock, and use the kicking game to pin LSU deep. I predict a low-scoring game .... AU 17, LSU 13 in a great defensive, smashmouth struggle.

WDE and Geaux Tigers !

 

Quoted by Cadillacattack,
LSU's D does rank high, but those rankings do not take into account the strength of opponents - Auburn's opponents have been significantly stronger (AU 75.81/ LSU 68.87...source- Sagarin).
I agree with you.

I think the game is like the 2000 election
(to close to call)
But we still have a game against USC first!!

 

Excactly, let's discuss aubum next week. We gotta play the cocks first.

Dang Halloween....now I agreed with Sour on something. spoooky:shock:

 

Wow...nice breakdown cadillacattack.

And just to add to the Auburn defense being soft against the passing game...that's what we want you to do, throw it! It won't be nearly as effective for you and you give the ball back to us faster. And you will not run on us. We have shut down the leading rushers in consecutive weeks. See UT, Ark...

Can't wait!!

 

good post...but I hope the AU team is underestimating the OL as much as you are!!

 

I wouldn't say that lsu has a "very weak" OL but all I heard last week was how all world the Arky OL was....and what did it mean in the end?