Remember the question being posed, could we face Auburn? Obviously, if Auburn loses twice, there is no chance for an SEC showdown for the BCS title. In terms of helping/hurting LSU, I would hope Auburn loses twice, then the voters would do their best NOT to pit TCU and Boise State and would get us close enough to them in the human polls. In the computer polls, it doesn't help or hurt us, as LSU would move to #1 in almost every computer poll and Auburn would slide past Boise and TCU (would not help with buffering us). There is an outside shot that in a couple of the computer polls a 2 loss Auburn could still be ahead of an undefeated Boise or TCU. Cudos to the powers that be that scheduled North Carolina and West Virginia this year. It is paying off big time.
I overlooked the "12-1 Auburn" from the thread title. So I guess my question boils down to this - if Auburn goes undefeated through the SECCG, does that affect LSU's chances (good or bad) of finishing #2?
So really we need Wisconsin to lose, Stanford to lose, Oregon to lose, Boise to lose, and TCU to at least look like crap, and we win out and we are in maybe? That's totally possible..... ain't gonna happen, but you never know.
We need Stanford to win out because they serve as a buffer between LSU and Boise/TCU in almost all the computer polls. They take very few votes away from us in human polls, and with a win over Arkansas on the road, we will not be in danger of losing ground because some voters jumped Stanford over us. If Stanford were to lose, you can almost boost TCU and Boise from .800 to .820 in the computer polls. That would be damaging to LSU's chances.
You made this incredibly convoluted. If Oregon, Boise, and TCU each lose a game and LSU and Auburn win out, it will happen. That is how we backdoored our way in in 2007. Teams ahead of us lost that shouldn't have. In the end it didn't matter how LSU got there, just that we did.
TCU is a 58 point favorite over their only remaining opponent on their schedule. Try again. I am presenting a case for a something that is somwhat realistic.
How realistic did you think the chances were after losing that 3OT game to Arkansas to end the season in '07? I guess what I'm saying is that the most realistic thing that I thing will happen is to win out and have some big help from other teams losing unexpectedly. Before the season I didn't think the team had a realistic chance of being in the top 5 at this point of the season. Some will say that they did, but they are likely liars. Stranger things have happened...
