Discussion in 'The Tiger's Den' started by LSUTiga, Oct 5, 2019.
Which way you think it moves?
You didn't ask me, but I'll be surprised if it doesn't drop.
Why would it drop? Fuck Florida. We are literally the highest scoring offense in the country right now. Florida is not. Their defense contained a way exposed barn offense. Their QB is serviceable at best with only half a game on the road. That QB has to manage a game in TS? lol, he's meat on a hook before he gets off the bus.
13 is being quite generous. We are gonna send em home with their cocks in their watch pocket.
No, I told him LSU by 10 and was checking him but your answer is welcome.
Relax, It’s an undefeated, top ten Gator team coming.
We ain't gonna ramah smoke em, but we're gonna smoke em and it will be by more than 10.
I just checked the Las Vegas Odds web site. The line opened at 13 and has already moved to 14 1/2. Hmmmm
It all depends on how the money comes in, ya know ... but I will say this.
If you look at FPI or Sagarin, the spread doesn't match. It's lower. I haven't looked any further than those two sites in regard to this game. SP+ is the only one left to check.
To what do you attribute the number being as high as it is? Is it the uncertainty regarding the status of the Gator QB. I looked at another Tiger web site and a large number of posters and bettors are surprised at the high number.
Bookmakers wanting a 50/50 split on wagers is the goal, right?
FPI would put it at -6½ then add HFA. While most assume that's a standard three, it's not across the board. (Sagarin is using 2.60 to date.) There's a good chance LSU is pulling more than three on HFA (especially considering ranking and game time.)
My instinct says the current line is bait looking for people to jump on UF.
Personally, I think the total is the play here.