Yes Red go back and blame the other guy to deflect from the president's failings. Why don't you address the points made in the article?
First, my how quickly this has turned from "IT'S NOT OUR FIGHT" to whole hearted support. I guess we're not as objective thinkers as we like to claim, or maybe it was a change of heart. Doesn't matter either way. It is action based on political expedience and public sentiment, altogether sad and pathetic. Second, this is not a civil war. A civil war implies two entities that are part of the same state. Can't be a civil war if ISIS is comprised of jerkoffs from other nations. Can't be a wholly sectarian war since many sunnis inside and outside the country do not support ISIS. If anything, this falls more in line with an insurgency. Third, the US never left Iraq with a stable government. It was a government full of empty promises and rhetoric. Current disarray is proof. Last, the Iraqi army wasn't adequate. We gave them equipment, but what good is an UAHMMWV if there is no means to sustain it (parts, maintenance)? We all knew they were not capable of sustaining themselves logistically and in leadership. What few tactical successes they may have achieved were trumped up as "progress" and we were very quick to label individual units as "effective". Same thing is happening in Afghanistan, lived it firsthand. There was/is no capable leadership at the operational and strategic level, both levels of war that are responsible for deploying, synchronizing, fighting and sustaining forces in the field. That is why they were so soundly defeated. We lied to meet a political objective; we are doing the same in Afghanistan.
Not exactly. It's still not our fight, but we do have interests in the region to be protected. Going to war for the Maliki government is certainly not our fight, they will just squander it. Change has to happen there. Offering support to the Kurds is another matter. They have played ball with us all along, unlike the Shia and Sunnis and they are willing and able to fight if provided with the tools and some air support. It's still not our fight to re-engage in a ground war in Iraq. That doesn't mean we can't offer some logistical and air support to the enemies of our enemies who are willing to fight. Semantics. It's mostly Iraqi on Iraqi fighting for Iraqi turf. That meets the definition of a civil war. There are foreign factors involved for sure and that complicates the matter immensely. Some of our "allies" in the region are playing on both sides of the fence. There is truth to this, but they had held democratic elections and the insurgency was diminished when they asked us to leave before we really wanted to. And Malaki changed the ball game after we left. Not adequate by US standards, but the brass signed off on their adequacy to fight insurgents and keep the Iranians out. It does appear to be a leadership failure. The Iraqi army had better equipment and lots more soldiers than ISIS, yet ISIS has transformed from a guerrilla insurgency into an irregular army. Still they have their limitations, too. So where do you stand on this matter? Should we be all in? All out? Limited action? None of the choices seem particularly palatable. So far, I see our response as prudent and cautious which makes more sense to me than rash and risky. Political? Absolutely. How could it not be? But is doesn't seem to be partisan. The administration is doing what John McCain and Lindsey Graham have been advocating.
The Kurds are definitely willing to fight, and providing support is the right thing to do. But there has to be some backdoor maneuvering to appease everyone else is Iraq, Iran and Turkey. Kurds still want an independent Kurdistan that comprises parts of all three countries. And honestly, the only decent part of Iraq is the Kurdish area. It's like night and day from the rest of the country, but that's neither here nor there. It's not semantics. They aren't fighting for a piece of land they feel should be independent from the rest of the country-they are fighting for a complete change, socially and politically. They may have members that are Iraqi, but their movement did not necessarily begin in Iraq. It has been imported from Syrian. Iraq was viewed as an easy target and their movement found willing participants brought about by government ineffectiveness, an ineffectiveness most of us who have had anything vested in Iraq understood was only a matter of time before it manifested itself. Their army is obviously not adequate by anyone's standards. The brass signing off on it doesn't negate the fact is was politically expedient to do so, and again, same thing is happening in Afg. Their so-called "readiness" is based on a vast stretching of the truth. Yes, there were gains, but those gains were at a glacial pace. Then, all of a sudden, in the span of two years they went from completely dependent on the US to independent (not the exact terms, but close enough for discussion). Allow me a moment to explain how it works. Advisors are required to submit reports using given criteria that may or may not pertain to their organization. That criteria cannot be changed, it has to be answered. Advisors submit reports based on their assessment. It goes up to the next higher HQs, who give their cut on it. Then it goes up to the next higher HQs for their cut, and so on. The ones who did the original assessment will never see it again once it leaves their hands, there is no way of knowing what has been changed. No HQs at any level is going to show stagnation or, heaven forbid, a downgrade. What the final brass is getting is not the original assessment. It is, in fact, a farce. The reports that go to Congress are the same way. Now, there are units that can function independently, mostly at the battalion level and below, and even some brigades if they have a strong commander. But that's not where the disfunction resides. It resides at the division, corps and national military level who are responsible for supporting the tactical level commanders. Again, you are seeing the same thing in Afg right now. The Iraqi army has better equipment than ISIS. But it doesn't matter if their logistical system is broken. They are inadequately trained and led to sustain themselves. They have no strategy in place, all they do is respond. That's not the fault of the trigger puller. ISIS fighters show up with 7 full magazines for their weapon; Iraqi fighters show up with one in a half full up-armored HMMWV because no one thought to order enough ammunition for a full combat load, or fill up their vehicles before they left, and no one is trained to figure out how to get more ammunition and fuel to them. We knew logistics and leadership were their biggest deficiencies, but no one wanted to say they were failing. And we're doing it all over again. Operationally, I think the fix is seal off the absolutely porous Syrian border (which is like the pot calling the kettle black since we can't even seal our own). Isolate ISIS inside Iraq, then systematically conduct concurrent and successive operations to destroy them, with air and logistics support from the US and other allies. Then there has to be heavy US involvement in bringing all sides together, once again, to address grievances, and then STAY ENGAGED. Militarily, the US response is right, but waiting this long is an utter leadership failure. However much of a clown shoe O has shown himself to be, this is still fixable. That said, there needs to be a measured US advisor role to the Iraqi Army to get their logistics moving and to establish some type of strategic plan. Otherwise, all we're doing is dropping bombs and they are spinning their wheels. Not what people want to hear, but at this point I don't see any other way to fix it. If we aren't interested in fixing the situation, it doesn't matter how many bombs are dropped.
Red the articles were put there for your education! You chose to ignore the substance and blame W in a knee jerk manner. Why don't you read the articles and learn something...I don't need a response just trying to help
Ain't this the truth. I think Syria may have lost its Kurds, but the Turks are batshit crazy about retaining theirs. It may be difficult to completely supply the Iraqi Kurds without cooperation from Turkey if things get hairy in southern Iraq. The Turks owe us a lot of favors, but the current leadership there can't decide if they are European or Middle-eastern. They ain't Arabs, but they are damn sure muslim and they are conflicted. Perhaps this is exploitable. Iran is going to be interesting. ISIS is an implacable enemy for them, not only for their war against Syria but for their war against Iraqi Shia. They cannot allow ISIS to control a country on their border. They don't want to give up their Kurds either, but they badly need the Iraqi Kurds as a buffer. Iran and the US is in the position of being on the same side of the ISIS issue and could conceivably be informally allied with them soon. I could definitely see US equipment moving directly from Afghanistan through Iran to Kurdistan in a mutually beneficial arrangement. Iraq is a clusterfuck, they have essentially already lost their Kurds. It won't be a cakewalk for ISIS to take over the Shia heartland. Some of those guys were pretty effective insurgents. But anything could happen. Somebody has to replace Maliki that can get the Shia and the moderate Sunni to cooperate for their common good. Until then, I don't see us making much of an investment on their protection. Ultimately, they got nuthin' we need. Now that is interesting. Military reporting works exactly like a goddamn university only with far more serious consequences. Somehow we have the notion that the military can cut through the bureaucratic hierarchy in an efficient and soldierly manner. It certainly explains a lot of the rosy scenarios we hear coming from the Pentagon. Two questions: 1. Is such an operation possible without the kind of coalition we had in 1991? Iraq has already cost us 2 $Trillion, I don't see how we could do it right without sharing some costs and risks with our European and Middle Eastern allies. The other Arab governments are starting to worry about ISIS-like uprisings in their turf, they would have to cough up some cash if we are to eliminate their demons. I'm tired of carrying water for the Europeans, too. Collectively the EU has as much money as we do and almost as big and modern military force. They sit back and let us do the work, way too often. 2. ISIS must be logistically even more vulnerable than the Iraqi army. They have even fewer parts and less capability to maintain stolen US equipment than the Iraqi Army. Their forces are scattered, their supply lines are long and they snake through deserts with few alternative routes. Where are they getting their supplies from? Not through Turkey or southern Iraq. Ostensibly not through Kuwait, Saudi Arabia or Jordan who worry about being the next ISIS target. Certainly not through Iran. Syria is in conflict with ISIS themselves. ISIS has no seaports, no air force, no neighbor that openly supports them. It would seem that with diplomatic cooperation from the mentioned countries and a military effort concentrating on disrupting their logistics they could be in deep shit pretty rapidly. I wonder how sealing the "border" between Syria and Iraq would help since ISIS already controls both sides of it and Syria is in such disarray that they can't be getting much logistical support from there. ISIS fighters in Syria need all the support they can get already. TV shows ISIS with a bunch of brand new Toyota Tundras with HMGs on them. Where is that shit coming from? I think the delay has clearly been to force out Malaki and it is working, but far too slowly. Somebody over there has to step up and lead the locals and be amenable to US advisors and support at the same time. Obama can't wave a magic wand and make that happen. If we are going to re-engage in Iraq, it has to be on our terms.
You asked me, "Why don't you address the points made in the article?" I already read the news, chief. And I read your articles. It doesn't mean that I buy any of it. I'm not wasting time arguing with something that can't argue back. If you want a debate, then make your own case and use the articles for substantiation. I'll argue with you.
Man, good questions. The US definitely could, but shouldn't go it alone. The prudent thing to do would be to get buy-in from other EU nations and ME countries. It would take a great effort on the US' part to get that, and unfortunately, I don't think Kerry is very good at persuasion. At least it wouldn't need to consist of the same effort as 1991 from a deployment standpoint, but what's needed more than anything right now is an opportunity to buy some time for other initiatives to work. Collectively, the world seems to be keeping more to themselves, and we're seeing the outcome of that (Russia, China, etc.). Other ME countries have for the most part always kept to themselves or chosen to act in the shadows. But, you're right, the same happening to Iraq could happen to them, as well. Could be a selling point for their involvement. Agree, Maliki is a shit show, and is too hell-bent on retribution and trying to right every wrong instead putting together an effective government. As far as ISIS being supplied, Syria is the key. AQ may be at a disagreement with them, but that doesn't mean they exactly mind what's going on in Iraq, especially since it involves Shia and Iran, in whatever capacity that may be, and it gets ISIS out of their hair. I also wouldn't be surprised if the Turks have allowed some resupply, as well; not materially, but possibly have enabled it to happen since they have no love for the Kurds. My opinion is the Turks are about as shady as they come, NATO or not. I do not trust them. As long as the Kurds are fighting ISIS and not them, I think they are completely OK with it. I also think much of what you see ISIS rolling around in is what they've been able to take, and so far they've been able to pretty much take what they want. But Iraq clamping the border would go a long way into denying ISIS ability to resupply. Unfortunately, Iraq is mostly landlocked except for a small port near Kuwait, there's no love-loss between Iraq and Saudi Arabia and Jordan, and who knows what demands Iran is placing on them to get logistical support. Both good questions. I have some friends of mine that are probably in the know considering what they do, will be interesting to get their take. I'll come home at some point during this football season, would love to sit down over a beer about how bureaucratic it really is and some of the shit I had to put up with.
It may be time for everyone to re-assess exactly what our turf is. It may be time for everyone to re-assess who our allies are, too. ISIS is even more landlocked than Iraq and surrounded by governments that do not favor them. I think you may be right in that private Turkish, Saudi, and Gulf State support is getting around the government line. That is something that can be addressed without military action perhaps. Desert supply ones are something that is very vulnerable to airpower, even unmanned aircraft. Strangling these guys logistically seems like an option to me. First pitcher of Abita is on me. Shane is coming to town, too . . . he's buying.