Trump already setting himself up for the General election

If you think black people and latinos will not show up to vote against this guy, not to mention lgbt and women, you are sadly underestimating the other 70% of the electorate. I know several friends who are extremely conservative and their answer when I ask them who they will vote for is "ABT....anyone but Trump." And that includes Hillary. I think the underestimating is happening on the Trump side of things.

 

say what you want but don't keep fooling yourself into believing that he will be the next President of the US, he will not.

 

Heard the same thing in 1980.

"No Actor will ever be President of the United States"

 

Clinton will collect a lot of white voters too, just like Bill did. It's not just the ethnics that are repelled by Trump. The people that elected Bill Clinton and Obama twice are not going to be voting Republican this year.

 

Donald Trump is no Ronald Reagan and to any good Republican, mentioning those two in the same sentence should be heresy.

 

That's not an argument. People who don't like trump despise him. He has zero chance.

 

Hispanic voters are mostly democrats but somewhere around 25% are Republican and of those, the majority favor Trump....even over Cruz and Rubio. If Trump gets the nomination, he will play up a few key factors to help marginalize that vote and to get more folks out to the polls who support what he is saying. Black folks are losing out on jobs because of immigrants....illegal and otherwise. If the flood of immigrants continues unabated, that means more unemployment among the black community and there's even a study in LA that concluded employers actually prefer hiring hispanic workers over black workers. Fear is a great motivator sometimes.

Add in that El Chapo apparently snuck back into the US while evading authorities and it's clear the US has zero control of the border. With the threat of terrorists coming in through Southern borders, it's another way to make the election about this issue or at least highlight his point of view.

And it does little good to be swayed by anecdotal stories. For every con you know who says ABT, I know 2 who say ABTLB. The lgbt community? Really? How many votes is that exactly? Caitlyn won't vote for TLB, so at least one of them isn't all in.

 

Cuts both ways. I rode to a game today with two Democrats who were mad at themselves for not having changed party affiliation so they could vote for Trump. For election, Trump WILL get their vote.

 

Good point, I suppose all of our stories are personal ones and likely not representative of a larger demographic one way or another. That said, I am not the only person....by a long shot....who can point to demographics and past elections cycles for a million reasons why a Trump Presidency is virtually impossible. For those who are Trump supporters, I get it that this is not what they want to her. In fairness, maybe I'll be the one eating crow on election night but until I see something to sway me otherwise I'll hold my position that he would not only lose badly to HRC but the down ballot effect on the house and senate seats would also have longer term ramifications (i.e. the senate approves the presidents supreme court nominee and republicans are at peril of losing the senate if Trump is the nominee).