I do not think we will be flat on the road but...I like this score and it is speaking to me. I just do not see how TN is going to score more than this on our D if we play the way we have been.
Don't see Tn getting a TD their best hope is 6pts. LSU 42 and are calling off the dogs in the 4th qtr.
:shock: Based on what they've done against other SEC teams, (UF and UGA), they're more likely to rush for NEGATIVE 36 yds. Currently, they're averaging -15 yds/game vs SEC competition, and I assure you, we're the best rush defense they've seen to this point. And if they don't get a center that can get the ball to the QB without it going over his head or short hopping it, Dooley may have to go in the game at QB, because Simms won't last. That said, here's my prediction... LSU 38 UT 6
It's just a matter of how my formula works. I took our competitions average rushing rank and yrds per game, and calculated what percent of that LSU's defense is allowing. Comes out to be 40%. TN's average rushing per game 84 yrds. Multiply by 40%, gives you 36 yrds. I did this across 4 metrics. Passing yrds ... 87% Rushing yrds ... 43% (rounded down to 40% because TN sucks on run) Scores for .... 41% Scores against .... 176% So .. using these averages, we will allow 87% of their normal passing game, 43% of their normal rushing game, TN will only score 41% of their average score, and we will score 176% of what TN normally allows. The actual score calculated was 35-14, but I nixed them 4 points for Bray being gone, and reduced one TD to a FG. Thus .... 35-10. .....
NICE! I still don't buy it. They are really terrible, and getting worse due to getting less healthy by the minute. No TDs for them...
