Tale of the Tape: LSU vs Arkansas (all the stats you could ever want)

Discussion in 'The Tiger's Den' started by islstl, Nov 20, 2011.

Page 2 of 3
  1. $TigerFan$

    $TigerFan$ Father of CajinKid

    Joined:
    Dec 7, 2007
    Messages:
    1,916
    Likes Received:
    866
    Izzy they lost 10,but they put it on the turf 21 times. Thats not good against our defense. They will be pulling at the ball all day.
     
    $TigerFan$, Nov 22, 2011
    #11
  2. Pennsylvania

    Pennsylvania Go easy on me

    Joined:
    Sep 16, 2011
    Messages:
    1,353
    Likes Received:
    231
    They rode to #3 on LSU and Bama's coat tails.
     
    Pennsylvania, Nov 22, 2011
    #12
  3. northernvatiger

    northernvatiger Founding Member

    Joined:
    Dec 24, 2003
    Messages:
    14,881
    Likes Received:
    6,246
    Between this stat and their "signature" wins vs Auburn and USCe, let's hope they're nothing but pretenders...

    :geauxtige
     
    northernvatiger, Nov 22, 2011
    #13
  4. BostonBengal

    BostonBengal Founding Member

    Joined:
    May 14, 2003
    Messages:
    8,684
    Likes Received:
    296
    As long as someone wraps up first! ...let the 2nd wave strip it.
     
    BostonBengal, Nov 22, 2011
    #14
  5. islstl

    islstl Playoff committee is a group of great football men Staff Member

    Joined:
    Nov 25, 2003
    Messages:
    46,115
    Likes Received:
    9,705
    Yeah, I failed to look that stat up, thanks.

    I figured it had to be a lot.

    LSU doesn't allow teams to recover their own fumble too often.

    So the fumble stat might as well be much closer to 21 than just the 10.
     
    islstl, Nov 22, 2011
    #15
  6. onceanlsufan

    onceanlsufan Founding Member

    Joined:
    Sep 30, 2010
    Messages:
    3,661
    Likes Received:
    2,265
    Adding fuel to the fire on your stats, the stuff we were talking about in the other thread. I went back an updated LSU.

    LSU, Offense scores 149% of what other teams normally allow
    LSU, Defense only allows 42% of points that teams normally score.

    AR, Offense scores 148% of what other teams normally allow.
    AR, Defense, allows 91% of points that teams normally score.

    It's clear what the difference in this game is going to be. AR and LSU's offenses are Both equally capable of scoring points, but .. LSU's defense allows only 42% of points that other teams normally score, whereas AR, allows teams to score at will. LSU's performace includes performaces against very good offenses, including OR, WVU, and Bama.

    No matter how you slice it ... using LSU's numbes, or AR's numbers ... this game will be a two score difference in favor of LSU. Where the problem for AR lies, is that 148% of 10, is just 14 points. 91% of 37 is 34 points.

    Turn it around and use AR numbers with LSU's percentages, .. 148% of 21 is 31 points ..... 42% of 39 is only 16 points. They lose either way. And these types of numerical "performance" comparison's have been pretty fricken accurate to date.

    :geaux:
     
    onceanlsufan, Nov 22, 2011
    #16
  7. islstl

    islstl Playoff committee is a group of great football men Staff Member

    Joined:
    Nov 25, 2003
    Messages:
    46,115
    Likes Received:
    9,705
    Only applying the defensive stat you presented, the final score would be:

    LSU 35, Arkansas 17

    Adding in field advantage:

    LSU 38, Arkansas 17

    This is probably the most common prediction of the outcome of this game.
     
    islstl, Nov 22, 2011
    #17
  8. watson1880

    watson1880 Founding Member

    Joined:
    Aug 19, 2006
    Messages:
    3,637
    Likes Received:
    2,009
    I saw the Alabama game and the stat that jumps out at me is SACKS... I hope our front four can get to Wilson... a lot.
     
    watson1880, Nov 22, 2011
    #18
  9. onceanlsufan

    onceanlsufan Founding Member

    Joined:
    Sep 30, 2010
    Messages:
    3,661
    Likes Received:
    2,265
    YUP ... my prediction is LSU 34, AR 17. What keeps comming up is, AR 17. I think that is about all they will score on this stingy LSU defense unless we have some major breakdowns in coverage on the pass.
     
    onceanlsufan, Nov 22, 2011
    #19
  10. stk

    stk Founding Member

    Joined:
    Oct 15, 2003
    Messages:
    679
    Likes Received:
    31
    If you read hogville.net it seems like they all have a bit of an inferiority complex. It will be nice to reinforce that for them.

    My biggest concern looking at those stats is kickoff returns. I expect that we will have multiple kickoffs and so far this year our coverage kind of sucks. Would be nice to put a few of those deep in the end zone.
     
    stk, Nov 22, 2011
    #20
Page 2 of 3

Share This Page