Republican SC Primary Predictions/Discussion

Discussion in 'Free Speech Alley' started by islstl, Feb 20, 2016.

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  1. Bengal B

    Bengal B Founding Member

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    Not sure if Rubio will win any state other than Florida
     
    Bengal B, Feb 20, 2016
    #21
  2. Jmg

    Jmg Veteran Member

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    When kasich is gone, basically 100 percent of the former bush and kasich voters are with Marco
     
    Jmg, Feb 20, 2016
    #22
  3. shane0911

    shane0911 Helping lost idiots find their village

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    Well duh, it's not hrc
     
    shane0911, Feb 20, 2016
    #23
  4. mobius481

    mobius481 Registered Member

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    Rubio is half sane.
     
    mobius481, Feb 20, 2016
    #24
  5. mobius481

    mobius481 Registered Member

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    God I can only hope. Hillary vs trump or Cruz is a total nightmare.
     
    mobius481, Feb 20, 2016
    #25
  6. Jmg

    Jmg Veteran Member

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    Kid is on Coke he is always downing gallons of water and sweating face off
     
    Jmg, Feb 20, 2016
    #26
  7. islstl

    islstl Playoff committee is a group of great football men Staff Member

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    Rubio is the big winner of the night. He comes in 2nd and Bush bows out.

    About 90 % of the Bush support will go to Rubio. That puts Rubio right at 30 % if Bush had bowed out after New Hampshire. Game on.

    Cruz is pissed that Carson is not bowing out. But I'm glad he didn't after what Cruz did to Carson in Iowa. And I truly believe that Carson is only staying to annoy Cruz. But I'm not entirely sold that the Carson support is even going to go to Cruz. A lot of the Carson support is because he is a nice person, and Cruz is perceived as being the exact opposite. He'll certainly get some of it due to the Evangelical angle, but I actually think Trump will get more of it. Trump has played nice with Carson for the most part and that was a smart thing to do.

    So if both Carson and Bush had not been in this primary vote today, I think the breakdown would have been as follows:

    Trump 37
    Rubio 30
    Cruz 25
    Kasich 7.6

    Haven't really figured out where the Kasich vote would go, but Trump again has put himself in position to get a good chunk of it as he has played nice with Kasich just like Carson. And the Kasich vote is the most moderate, so I think that Cruz would benefit the least, so most likely an even split between Rubio and Trump. So that puts Trump right at that 40 % mark.
     
    Last edited: Feb 20, 2016
    islstl, Feb 20, 2016
    #27
  8. Jmg

    Jmg Veteran Member

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    Lots of the bush voters are with kasich now
     
    Jmg, Feb 20, 2016
    #28
  9. mobius481

    mobius481 Registered Member

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    Yes, I know. I'm the one that said that two weeks ago. Can't blame the guy for hitting the aderol. He's better than the other two.
     
    mobius481, Feb 20, 2016
    #29
  10. mobius481

    mobius481 Registered Member

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    With the remaining guys, the kasich vote goes to rubio. Kasich is the best candidate. His supporters, like me, would not support Cruz or trump under any situation.
     
    mobius481, Feb 20, 2016
    #30
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