Preliminary BCS final standings prediction

Discussion in 'The Tiger's Den' started by islstl, Dec 2, 2007.

  1. islstl

    islstl Playoff committee is a group of great football men Staff Member

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    Based on the computer polls only and some gut feelings about the human polls, here goes:

    1. Ohio State
    2. LSU
    3. Virginia Tech
    4. Georgia
    5. Oklahoma
    6. Missouri
    7. USC
    8. Kansas
    9. WVU
    10. Florida

    Georgia is getting it handed to them in the computer polls after this weekends play. LSU and Vtech pass them in every computer poll. OU will pass them in some as well. USC may pass them in 1 or 2 as well. Missouri will stay ahead of Georgia in a couple as well. Talk about a hit.

    Virginia Tech is my concern. They should be slightly ahead of us in the computer polls. The voters will do the right thing and place LSU ahead of Vtech based on the earlier head to head match in which LSU pummelled Vtech 48-7.

    OU and USC will not have enough computer poll help even if they get some favorable voting by the humans. OU has a better shot than USC in this regard.

    Wow, what a night.

    Here are my projected computer polls:

    ...............................A&H....RB....WC...KM....JS....PW....Total
    1. Virginia Tech.............4......3......2......1......1......1...... .970
    2. LSU.........................3......2......1......2......2......3...... .950
    3. Ohio State................1......1......3......4......5......5...... .910
    4. Missouri....................2......5......5......6......4......4...... .860
    5. Kansas.....................5......6.....11.....5.......3......6...... .820
    6. Georgia....................7......9.......4.....3.......7......7...... .790
    7. Oklahoma.................9.....10......6......7.......6......2...... .760
    8. USC........................8.......4.....12....10.......8......8...... .700

    Here is Rich Tellshow, a very reliable source:

    1. VTech........... .970
    2. LSU.............. .950
    3. Ohio State..... .930
    4. Missouri......... .860
    5. Georgia.......... .790
    6. Kansas.......... .740
    7. Oklahoma....... .730
    8. WVU............. .730
    9. Arizona State.. .720
    10. USC............. .710

    Based on these numbers, which closely resemble mine (we agree on LSU, Vtech and Georgia, the 3 principles in this big BCS mess), we can make the following conclusions:

    What this means is that OU and USC are out of it completely. Forget it. It's done. Stop worrying. Herbstreit and May talking human polls only, and have no clue as to this projection.

    If the human polls stayed as they are regarding the relative positions between LSU, VTech, and Georgia from this past week's polls, we would have the battle for #2 as:

    1. Virginia Tech...... .7593...... .7740....... .970 = 2.503/3 = .8344
    2. LSU.................. .7720...... .7560....... .950 = 2.478/3 = .8260
    3. Georgia............. .8309...... .8213....... .790 = 2.442/3 = .8141

    What's abundantly clear is that Georgia has lost all of it's advantage over Vtech and LSU just due to the computer polls shifts. Just what I expected. So you believe Georgia sitting idle will GAIN in the human polls over LSU and Vtech? No way on God's green earth. Georgia is done.

    We only need a few votes to shift from Vtech to LSU's favor. When all is said and done and that 41 point victory is remembered, LSU will get more than enough to place the mighty LSU Tigers at #2 in the BCS.

    Here are the pundits weighing in:

    Herbstreit - LSU
    Corso - LSU
    Fowler - LSU
    Lou Holtz - LSU
    Brad Edwards (BCS guru) - LSU
    Jerry Palm (BCS guru) - LSU
    ISLSTL (TF BCS guru) - LSU
    CBSsportsline.com - LSU
    scout.com - LSU
    BCSGuru.com - LSU
    Stewart Mandel - LSU
    Mark May - Oklahoma
    Collegefootballnews.com - Georgia
     
  2. tigerfanforlife

    tigerfanforlife Freshman

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    I can only hope.:)
     
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  3. LSU

    LSU Founding Member

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    This reminds me so much of four years ago tonight.

    It's hard to sleep.
     
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  4. uscpuke

    uscpuke Founding Member

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    Islstl -
    Thanks for the post. This is what I was waiting for before I went to bed. This should be stickied. You were right in 2003, hope like hell you are right again!!
     
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  5. TROJANfan

    TROJANfan Founding Member

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    BCS states that there can not be 3 teams from a conference in a BCS game,

    Do you think Missouri of Kansas gets shafted in place of Arizona State or Hawaii should they win tonight?
     
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  6. TejasTiger

    TejasTiger Founding Member

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    Yep, yep, it is kinda like 2003.


    Speaking of 2003, I have a late-night Hawaii game question.

    Would Hawaii winning help appreciably at all, since Washington played OSU this season, and they played USC as well?

    *

    Guess I answered my question, eh? Geaux Rainbeauxs!!!:LSU231:
     
  7. islstl

    islstl Playoff committee is a group of great football men Staff Member

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    Tough call. I think Kansas gets shafted. Kansas had one tough game, and they lost. So they proved nothing this year except that they are a pretty good team. Pretty good won't cut it. Missouri deserves it more. They were in this game vs OU until late in the 3rd. Lots of redzone offense that went nowhere. Game could have been different.
     
  8. islstl

    islstl Playoff committee is a group of great football men Staff Member

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    How funny we are awaiting Hawaii again to complete the BCS picture. This time for their own sake.
     
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  9. uscpuke

    uscpuke Founding Member

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    Tellshow agrees with your computer assessment. He has VT 1, followed closely by LSU then tOSU. Damn I hope the voters think about this one.
     
  10. islstl

    islstl Playoff committee is a group of great football men Staff Member

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    No real talk about Vtech playing Ohio State. Which is good.

    I really think they are our toughest competition come late tomorrow afternoon.
     

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