Sanders 51 % Clinton 45 % O'Malley 4 % Trump 31 % Cruz 22 % Rubio 19 % Bush 10 % Carson 9 % Christie 4 % Paul 3 % Weather is excellent (relatively speaking for Iowa at this time of year), snow not expected until late tonight, after the caucuses are over.
Can someone finish with 4 or 9? I thought if you were less than 15%, you had to go to a different person so in the end, no one would finish with less than 15%. Maybe I've misunderstood the process though. It seems like a convoluted mess.
No way to tell what they will do. I think it may be tighter than that on the GOP side. Really need Bernie to do well
The Super Delegates in the Democratic Party are going to have to come to Clinton's rescue. You will see Bernie Sanders get the majority of support by democratic voters by a small margin and the establishment will step in and nix him out of fear that he will not win a general election. As far as Iowa is concerned I think Cruz wins Iowa on the Republican side but it won't matter because Iowa is meaningless. If I'm Rance Preebus, I'm to the point where I'm offering money to Christie, Paul, and Kaisich to drop out so their small support can go somewhere else. As long as all these candidates are still in the mix Trump will reign supreme. The GOP really needs Rubio to be the nominee, I think that is the only way they stand a chance unless people just don't vote. Sanders 51 percent Clinton 49 percent Cruz 30 Trump 29 Rubio 16 Spread the rest among the others..
Cruz's position on ethanol subsidies will kill him in Iowa. that's why I think he can't win. Remember, you don't just go vote in Iowa. You gotta really want it. They spend hours at the polling locations in an archaic game of "stand with a group of people who all like the same guy as you and then we count". That means, people who feel strongly about certain issues generally show up the most.
Clinton 58%, Sanders 42% ----- Sanders' millennials don't show up in large numbers. Trump 50%, Cruz 28%, Rubio 22% ---- Smarter Republicans come to their senses and lift Rubio.
Good point on millenials. I'll keep my prediction the same but you're probably right. He's go ta better shot of shaking things up in New Hampshire where he has a comfortable lead.
