In my experience you can find a couple or three lines in weeks one and two where the spread is just off. You're right in the sense it tends to balance itself out by week three (at the latest the beginning of conference schedules.) But, in those first few weeks you can makes some money IF you pay attention to what they are putting out. I've not looked closely at the lines for week one. I did notice a few that jumped out to me. IE: OU giving @ 30 to Akron on opening weekend. The over on 'Ville vs Auburn is another one that's tempting. Follow this the first two weeks. In your head, take underdogs and the money line when the spread is small. Limited risk, but greater chance of breaking even for a novice. A good payout if you have a grasp of the teams you're playing. (That tends to work pretty darn well picking NFL games if you are into the league.) JMO...