Official Stretch Run for the 2016 Recruiting Class

I agree Bama will finish strong, but for whatever reason it looks like they finally won't finish with 25 recruits, which hurts their chances at finishing first this year. Looks like they will end up with 22-23 recruits. If they can somehow get to 25 with all 4 star recruits and the two expected 5 star recruits, then all bets are off.

The biggest challenger is Ohio State, which I'm not sure if they have any high value targets left. Same thing for FSU, which is currently 3rd and have only 21 recruits.

Georgia has a few high profile players left and if they can get them all , they will definitely push for top 3. They only have 16 at this point but are in decent to good shape for a few of the top 100 players. Georgia is slated to get 4 of the top 13 players in the nation and possibly 5 of the top 14. Special class if that happens. It runs their total score to 285.62, just behind LSU with only 19 recruits. Their target number is most likely higher than that (22-24).

If LSU lands Mullen and Fulton, then Ohio State would have to counter with 3 very high 4 star players to even have a shot. That's a lot at this late stage.

So if I had to project the 5 teams going for the top spot, it's LSU, Ohio State, FSU, Alabama and Georgia. Ole Miss and Michigan are longer shots but not out of it.

I'm going to do the computations a little later today on the top 100 uncommitted players and where they are expected to land and see how the rankings shake out.

 

Not sure who Bama is targeting, etc... I heard today they were expecting 3 5* LBs but not sure if any of those are committed yet or not.

Also think Nigel Warrior will be Tennessee

 

I believe they are projected to get two of them, I don't know anything about a 3rd one, unless they steal one away.

 

Williams seems the most likely of any high profile O-lineman. I guess you can call it a mini-surprise.

 

Projected finish based on uncommitted recruits' 247sports crystal ball predictions:

LSU................. 298.33 (#21 Fulton, #60 Mullen)
Ole Miss......... 295.27 (#19 Simmons, #38 Brown, #53 Anderson, #62 Knott, #338 Mathis)
Alabama........ 293.42 (#10 Davis, #15 Wilson, #64 Hall, #71 S.Carter, #240 Jones)
FSU................. 291.24 (#31 Dickerson, #51 Burns, #164 Williams, #153 Becker)
Ohio State......286.05 (#130 Fuller)
Michigan........ 283.06 (#1 Gary, #74 Asiasi, #135 Hill)
Georgia.......... 277.77 (#13 Hardman, #84 Price, #118 M.Carter)
Auburn.......... 265.93 (#9 Brown, #43 Craig-Myers)
Florida........... 260.06
Notre Dame.. 259.12 (#14 Robertson)

I extended it out to the top 338 uncommitteds (all 4 star minimum).

Based on that, I believe that LSU, Ole Miss, Bama and FSU have the best shots at getting the title. Ironically, Bama could get the title by pulling in a couple of Louisiana kids in Carter and Jones.

These teams are probably your top 10 teams as well (Clemson could sneak in at 10).

The Mullen recruitment between LSU and FSU is one of the key battles. That one recruit swaps LSU and FSU in the rankings (#1 vs #4).

Of course there are the NSD flips that schools always hope to avoid. Fowler seems to be the only LSU recruit that could do that.

I am fully confident that if LSU lands Mullen and Fulton and hold on to everyone else that we will end up #1. Bama would have to hit on 7 highly touted recruits on NSD, which is very unlikely.

 

what would be considered a mediocre finish?