lol you willing to bet on that. again likely voters is subjective, follow the swing states to understand any presidential election.
from one poll of likely voters, republicans were just complaining about these polls a month ago. now that they are useful....? one word oversampling.
According to the University of Colorado poll, which is never wrong, Romney has a 77% chance of winning the popular vote. However, we can ask Al Gore what that is worth. http://www.campusreform.org/blog/?ID=4435
Even shitbag Karl Rove said Obama won the debate. http://www.foxnews.com/opinion/2012/10/18/obama-won-debate-but-is-losing-argument/