My 16 team playoff SIM ... LSU still wins!

I took the winners of each conference, the independant w/ the best record, and 4 At-Large teams who did not win their conference. Then ranked them according to how they stand in BCS. Higher ranked had home field until BCS CG. Scores were avgs from home games/away games/head-to-head and same teams played. Round 1 ... only real surprise Hawaii over USC however I doubt it would really happen. Round 2 ... surprise Oklahoma over Georgia. Round 3 ... no real surprises. Round 4 ... BCS CG LSU OVER OHIO STATE, barely in a defensive struggle!

ROUND 1

1 Ohio State - 36
16 Florida Atlantic - 20

2 LSU - 40
15 Central Michigan - 24

3 Virginia Tech - 37
14 Central Florida - 29

4 Oklahoma - 58
13 Navy - 19

5 Georgia - 31
12 BYU - 27

6 Missouri - 29
11 Arizona St - 25

7 USC - 31
10 Hawaii - 37

8 Kansas - 34
9 West Virginia - 24

Round 2

1 Ohio State - 27
8 Kansas - 20

2 LSU - 45
10 Hawaii - 38

3 Virginia Tech - 28
6 Missouri - 26

4 Oklahoma - 38
5 Georgia - 19

Round 3

1 Ohio State - 28
4 Oklahoma - 22

2 LSU - 39
3 Virginia Tech - 16

Round 4 BCS NCG

1 Ohio State - 14
2 LSU - 16

 

just out of curiosity, how did you sim this? PS3?

 

interesting

 

I broke down Points For/Points Against for both home and away, then factored head to head matchups along with same teams played and compared how they did, then averaged everything out. Say Hawaii vs LSU. LSU averaged 38 pts at home and averaged 18 points scored on them, Hawaii averaged 42 pts away and 28 points scored on them. Averaged all out, you get a score of LSU 33 - Hawaii 30. No head to head but both played a common opp LT. Hawaii scored 45 on them while LSU scored 58, averaged those in and you get the score 45 - LSU, 38 Hawaii

 

LSU 16-14. That is pretty close.

Did you add the standard 3 points to LSU for being the home team?:lol:

 

For that one, I used overall scores and something else but I don't remember for that one.

 

Sixteen games would be too many in a playoff series. It would mean the two final teams would have to play 16 games. Best to have the playoffs between the top 8 teams, and even then it might be a good idea to drop one regular season game. Of course, conference championship games will not be practical.

 

I'm sure 16 games would be too tough, but I think if you win your conference you should get a shot and you cannot say they shouldn't get a chance. Look at Boise St last year against Oklahoma. Also, you need to consider the 3 independants, do you put pressure on them to join a conference or do you take the one with the best record or highest BCS standing. Lastly, I feel you need to recognize those in the top 10 who didn't win their conference, ie the Georgias and the 06 LSU Tigers. If you want a true #1 a playoff is what is needed, just where do you draw the line.