Margins of Victory

Discussion in 'OTHER SPORTS Forum' started by Hawker45, Jun 23, 2010.

  1. Hawker45

    Hawker45 Founding Member

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    Since the alliance, coalition and BCS format began in 1992 to match the top two teams, 18 championships have been played.
    Two thirds of the games were decided by 10 points or more, half by 14 points or more and a whopping 39% by three TD's or more.

    Given the other 40 BCS series bowls played since 1998 don't have near this discrepancy, does anyone have a good explanation of why this happens when two premier teams are matched up??

    1995 Nebraska 62, Florida 24 (38)
    2004 USC 55, Oklahoma 19 (36)
    1996 Florida 52, FSU 20 (32)
    2006 Florida 41, Ohio State 14 (27)
    1997 Nebraska 42, Tenn 17 (25)
    2001 Miami 37, Nebraska 14 (23)
    1992 Alabama 34, Miami 13 (21)
    1999 FSU 46, Virginia Tech 29 (17)
    2009 Alabama 37, Texas 21 (16)
    2007 LSU 38, Ohio State 24 (14)
    2000 Oklahoma 13, FSU 2 (11)
    2008 Florida 24, Oklahoma 14 (10)
    1994 Nebraska 24, Miami 17 (7)
    1998 Tennessee 23, FSU 16 (7)
    2003 LSU 21, Oklahoma 14 (7)
    2002 Ohio State 31, Miami 24 (7 ot)
    2005 Texas 41, USC 38 (3)
    1993 FSU 18, Nebraska 16 (2)
     
  2. LaSalleAve

    LaSalleAve when in doubt, mumble

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    Because the BCS sucks.
     
  3. BAY0U BENGAL

    BAY0U BENGAL I'm a Chinese Bandit

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    Exactly.
     
  4. cadillacattack

    cadillacattack Illegitimi non carborundum est

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    simple answer .... the purpose of the BCS isn't to match up the 2 best teams ..... it's purpose is to insure the network gets optimal ratings matchups.
     
  5. LSUTyga73

    LSUTyga73 Football Connoisseur

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    Uh....no. Where in the BCS does subjectivity come into play? The Pollsters, so blame them if need be. I love how people hate on the BCS when it is just an objective formula used to incorporate computer rankings and human rankings.
    If they wanted the best media rankings, LSU would have been left out in 2003.
     
  6. Nutriaitch

    Nutriaitch Fear the Buoy

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    what are the other average margins of victory?

    from memory, it seems as though:
    we've seen some blowouts in the sugar and rose lately.
    fiesta seems to be close normally
    orange is hit and miss it seems.
     
  7. Hawker45

    Hawker45 Founding Member

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    Of the 18 BCS/coalition/etc championship games, seven were decided by 21 points or more (39%)

    Of the 40 other BCS series bowls played since 1998, nine were won by 21 points or more (22.5%).

    In a more relative comparison, 5 of the 12 BCS championships since 19998/99 have been by more than two TD's (42%), whereas only 12 of the other 40 BCS series bowls have had a margin 15 points or more (30%).
     
  8. Nutriaitch

    Nutriaitch Fear the Buoy

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    are you doing the legwork for this, or did you find a good site?

    any chance I could talk you into breaking it down per bowl game (when not hosting the CG)?
     
  9. Hawker45

    Hawker45 Founding Member

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    Some legwork, some off my Hawkeye data base I keep, often downloaded and kept up by my overpaid, underworked staff....

    Of the 40 BCS bowls since 1998/99 not hosting the championship game, the Sugar and the Fiesta have both had four games where a team won by more than 14 points, the Orange Bowl has had three and the Rose Bowl two.... so, overall, 13 of the 40 games were won by 15 + points.
     
  10. Hawker45

    Hawker45 Founding Member

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    Other database tidbits:

    In the 12 BCS Championship games, the #1 BCS ranked team has won half, the #2 team, half. However, Bama's win last January marked the first time the #1 ranked team had won since 2004/05.

    In the 40 other BCS series bowls since 1998/99, the higher ranked BCS team has won 26 times, the lower ranked team has won 14 times.

    Adding the 5th bowl in 2006/07 has increased the number of times a lower ranked team has won its bowl. In the non-championship bcs bowls from 1998 through 2006/7 (9 seasons), the lower ranked team won 7 times and never more than one per bowl season.
    In the last three years, the lower rated team has won seven times (not including the bcs championship game):
    2007/08 Fiesta: #9 WV 48, #4 Oklahoma 28
    .......... Orange: #8 Kansas 24, #3 VT 21

    2008/09 Orange: #19 VT 20, #12 Cincy 7
    Sugar: #6 Utah 31, #4 Bama 17

    2009/10 Rose: #8 tOSU 26, #7 Oregon 17
    Sugar: #5 Florida 51, #3 Cincy 24
    Fiesta: #6 Boise St 17, #4 TCU 10
     

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