March 5 Republican Primaries (Louisiana, Kansas, Kentucky, Maine)

Discussion in 'Free Speech Alley' started by islstl, Mar 4, 2016.

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  1. islstl

    islstl Playoff committee is a group of great football men Staff Member

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    final numbers are in, he's down to 45 % of the overall delegate count
     
    islstl, Mar 7, 2016
    #21
  2. islstl

    islstl Playoff committee is a group of great football men Staff Member

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    Here is a very telling result of the Trump bashing and the Cruz bump:

    Early voting in Louisiana had Trump destroying Cruz 47-22.

    Actual voting day

    Cruz 40.7
    Trump 40.4
     
    islstl, Mar 7, 2016
    #22
  3. mobius481

    mobius481 Registered Member

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    I'm showing 41.4 to 37.8. Your point still remains as it was much closer than anticipated but where are you numbers coming from?
     
    mobius481, Mar 7, 2016
    #23
  4. islstl

    islstl Playoff committee is a group of great football men Staff Member

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    You're not understanding.

    Louisiana had early voting and Trump was murdering Cruz. Then on election day, Cruz actually beat Trump (barely), but the early voting was too much for Cruz to catch up. He ended up losing by less than 4, like you stated.
     
    islstl, Mar 7, 2016
    #24
  5. mobius481

    mobius481 Registered Member

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    I know I wasn't understanding. I got you now. Thanks for the explanation.
     
    mobius481, Mar 7, 2016
    #25
  6. islstl

    islstl Playoff committee is a group of great football men Staff Member

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    Interesting to see that Cruz would not only make up any ground in Louisiana but actually close and surpass Trump on voting day was unfathomable. He was blasted over a 2:1 margin in the early voting. Trump was supposed to do what he did in Georgia and Alabama (dominating wins). I do believe the tide is turning.

    It's officially a 2 person race. Get ready for Florida and Ohio. If Trump wins both, then it looks to be too late in the game for Cruz. Trump would need only 52 % of the delegates the rest of the way and Rubio would drop out at this point along with Kasich. If he loses Ohio, he needs 59 %, a tougher road to hoe but doable still (again, Rubio would drop out). If he loses Ohio and Florida (Rubio is closing in on Trump in the latest poll), then it's a whopping 69 %. Then we have bedlam at the convention.

    Trump should win Michigan and Mississippi tomorrow. But it's still proportional delegates (not winner take all). Look for Cruz' showing in Mississippi to see if he can continue his uptick from Louisiana. If he gets trounced, that's bad news.

    My guess is Trump holds off Rubio in Florida but loses Ohio to Kasich. Again, this puts everything up in the air and the anti-Trump brigade will push that much harder.
     
    Last edited: Mar 7, 2016
    islstl, Mar 7, 2016
    #26
  7. mobius481

    mobius481 Registered Member

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    I think there's a good chance rubio drops out before Florida. If he's smart he will.
     
    mobius481, Mar 8, 2016
    #27
  8. islstl

    islstl Playoff committee is a group of great football men Staff Member

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    good discussion about this yesterday on one of the news shows....They said he should exit before Florida, if he loses Florida it would be a huge blow to his future political career....makes sense but the campaign is seeing the race tighten and that makes it a really tough call
     
    islstl, Mar 8, 2016
    #28
  9. Perple

    Perple Founding Member

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    Who wins today's caucuses?

    Michigan
    Mississippi
    Idaho
    Hawaii
     
    Perple, Mar 8, 2016
    #29
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