LSU's remaining class for 2009: projections

Discussion in 'LSU RECRUITING' started by islstl, Jul 24, 2008.

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  1. islstl

    islstl Playoff committee is a group of great football men Staff Member

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    I would say we're definitely past the 50 percent mark of either getting Moore or Myles, and that percentage probably approaches 75.

    Moore = 50-55 %
    Myles = 40-45 %
     
    islstl, Jan 26, 2009
    #311
  2. bmy-

    bmy- Founding Member

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    All I did was (.50)^2

    :hihi:

    I knew highschool was good for something.
     
    bmy-, Jan 26, 2009
    #312
  3. CParso

    CParso Founding Member

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    Agreed. He loves LSU, but distance will be too much to overcome. IMO, not a huge loss with his mormon mission he wouldn't be on campus for 2 years (or for one year & then gone for 2).

    <50% chance we land one of them.

    I give us about a 15% chance of getting Moore right now, but we'll see what happens once we get him on campus. I say 40% chance we get Myles.
     
    CParso, Jan 26, 2009
    #313
  4. islstl

    islstl Playoff committee is a group of great football men Staff Member

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    Well if both guys were listed as 50 % chance, and you asked what our percentage was to get BOTH, then you multiply and get 25 % as your answer.
     
    islstl, Jan 26, 2009
    #314
  5. bmy-

    bmy- Founding Member

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    P(A) + P(B) - P(A*B) = .75

    Isn't it? I knew I should have paid more attention.. :lol:

    You're the math guy here.. i'll leave it to you :thumb:
     
    bmy-, Jan 26, 2009
    #315
  6. islstl

    islstl Playoff committee is a group of great football men Staff Member

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    I thought your carat sign ^ was a multiply operation.

    Otherwise, 75 percent is correct for the OR condition.
     
    islstl, Jan 26, 2009
    #316
  7. bmy-

    bmy- Founding Member

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    Whew. My world came to a halt there for a minute. :lol:
     
    bmy-, Jan 26, 2009
    #317
  8. stevescookin

    stevescookin Certified Who Dat

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    Don't ask me....I'm mathematically declined!!!:huh:
     
    stevescookin, Jan 26, 2009
    #318
  9. islstl

    islstl Playoff committee is a group of great football men Staff Member

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    Locks/Near Locks
    Mingo = 99 % (LSU/Alabama)
    Randle = 97.99 % (LSU/Alabama/OU)
    Benton = 95 % (LSU/Auburn)
    TJones = 85 % (LSU/TCU/Ole Miss)
    Sentimore = 70 % (LSU/Alabama)

    Toss Ups
    Kelly = 40 % (LSU/Clemson/Alabama)
    Myles = 35 % (LSU/Tennessee/Alabama)

    Some Work To Do
    Richardson = 25 % (LSU/Alabama/Florida)
    Su'a Filo = 25 % (LSU/Utah/BYU/UCLA/USC)
    Montgomery = 25 % (LSU/North Carolina/South Carolina/Tennessee)

    Outside Looking In
    Lacy = 15 % (LSU/Alabama)
    Michael = 10 % (LSU/Texas A&M)
    Stinson = 5 % (LSU/Alabama/FSU)
     
    islstl, Jan 30, 2009
    #319
  10. bhelmLSU

    bhelmLSU Founding Member Staff Member

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    bhelmLSU, Jan 30, 2009
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