LSU opens as -5 point favorites vs Ohio State

Discussion in 'The Tiger's Den' started by Six3, Dec 2, 2007.

  1. Mr. Peabody

    Mr. Peabody Founding Member

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    No problem Okie. It was fun holding the mighty Mizzou Tigers to just One TD after all that trash talk about giving us the game earlier in the season.

    I wish it was LSU/OU in the NC game, but we had our chance and blew it.

    Sucks that a team that doesn't even have to play in a CCG gets to go, but that's the NCAA for you.

    Congrats to you guys. I hope Dorsey is back 100% healthy for you guys. I can't wait to watch the game.
     
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  2. PGTiger

    PGTiger Founding Member

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    I'll try to get ya one done tomorrow Peabody.
     
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  3. TigerFan90

    TigerFan90 Too far away from home

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    I hear you and good luck.

    BTW, the only saving grace to the CCG dilemma, in my mind at least, is that at least tOSU won their conference outright. Meanwhile, Mark Richt and Jawjuh seems to be supremely pissed that they were left out. Amazing. They didn't even win their division, let alone the Conference. Using Jawjuh's logic, Kansas might have a better case for the MNC than the 'dawgs. :lol:
     
  4. tigerleg24

    tigerleg24 Guest


    5.5 is nothing Granny Lou on ESPN's BCS show tonight said tOSU would win by 14 :insane: :lol: :insane: :lol: :insane:
     
  5. CajunPunk

    CajunPunk TF's Resident Realist

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    Whoa... that tiger in your pic must have taken forever.
     
  6. Gatormaniac

    Gatormaniac Freshman

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    I expect the story to be much the same as last year, with the OSU quarterback running for his life. The only differences will be the color of the jerseys and the fact that New Orleans is a far better place to celebrate than Arizona. Geaux Tigers! Go SEC!
     
  7. Bengal Buddy

    Bengal Buddy Founding Member

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    I have been researching key statistical categories of the two teams and here is my take. I believe that any category in which there is less than a 10 position difference should be considered even. Comments welcomed.

    Rushing Offense
    LSU - #12
    OSU - #20
    Advantage - LSU

    Passing Offense
    LSU - #53
    OSU - #87
    Advantage - LSU

    Total Offense
    LSU -#21
    OSU - #58
    Advantage - LSU

    Scoring Offense
    LSU - #12
    OSU - #36
    Advantage - LSU

    Rushing Defense
    OSU - #3
    LSU - #14
    Advantage - OSU

    Passing Defense
    OSU - #1
    LSU - #9
    Advanage - Even

    Total Defense
    OSU - #1
    LSU - #3
    Advantage - Even

    Scoring Defense
    OSU - #1
    LSU - #20
    Advantage - OSU

    Turnover Margin
    LSU - #5
    OSU - #64
    Advantage - LSU

    Special Teams: Advantage - OSU
    Net Punting
    OSU - #36
    LSU - #55
    Advantage - OSU

    Punt Returns
    OSU - #60
    LSU - #106
    Advantage - OSU

    Kickoff Returns
    LSU - #88
    OSU - #117
    Advantage - LSU

    3rd Down Conversion %
    OSU - #12
    LSU - #22
    Advantage - OSU

    4th Down Conversion %
    LSU - #2
    OSU - #19
    Advantage - LSU

    Passing Efficiency
    OSU - #14
    LSU - #43
    Advantage - OSU

    Time of Possession
    OSU - #6
    LSU - #9
    Advantage - Even

    Prediction: LSU by 6
     
  8. Mr. Peabody

    Mr. Peabody Founding Member

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    Good info.

    However, I would say anything with 10 points/ranking difference or less would be called even.

    Rushing Offense - Their is a difference of 8 points/rankings. You give the advantage to LSU

    Passing Defense - Their is a difference of 8 points/ranking, and you say it is even.

    Besides that, I like it. Just my 2 cents. (not that anybody really cares)
     
  9. CaliBuck

    CaliBuck Freshman

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    My guess is that it will stay right around that line, maybe getting to 6 or 7.
     
  10. Bandit88

    Bandit88 Old Enough to Know Better

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    Question is, has OSU played strong enough offenses to cause us to worry about their defensive stats. I'm not saying they haven't, but based on their relatively weak strength of schedule compared to LSU, I wonder. That's going to be the focus of my reading/surfing for the next week.

    Just a quick look reveals that the Buckeyes held down a group of weak teams (Youngstown State, Akron, Northwestern, Minnesota, Purdue, Kent State, and (gasp) Michigan. Stronger teams (none ranked higher at this time than Illinois at 13) averaged about 19 ppg against the Buckeyes and about 295 yards of offense. (Washington, Michigan State, Penn State, Wisconsin, Illinois).

    That's a bit different than their season stats of 10 points and 225 yards.

    Of course, my point being the point spread may be spurious for this game.

    When I have some time, I'll purge LSU's weak opponents (LA Tech, MTSU, Tulane, Ole Miss, etc) and see where that puts the comparison.

    Bottom line - I'm getting the feeling that the Buckeye defense is on par with LSU, but not as dominant as their schedule has allowed them to look.
     

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