Gumps favored by 9 in ts

Discussion in 'The Tiger's Den' started by tirk, Oct 28, 2012.

  1. 1BIGTIGER

    1BIGTIGER Founding Member

    Joined:
    Sep 25, 2008
    Messages:
    845
    Likes Received:
    246
    Locker room material. no respect= Good Motivation
     
  2. tirk

    tirk im the lyrical jessie james

    Joined:
    Feb 4, 2004
    Messages:
    47,369
    Likes Received:
    21,536
    Standard is 3 per home field. Bama and lsu get 3 or so. Boise would get up to 7+ for that shitty turf the last decade which was the most of any team. Doubt if that's still the number.
     
  3. vshouse

    vshouse Veteran Member

    Joined:
    Aug 11, 2010
    Messages:
    1,243
    Likes Received:
    227
    So what you're trying to tell me is that if this game was played in T-town that bama would only be a 6 point favorite? I guess you have some ocean front property in Arizona to sell me too huh?
     
  4. tirk

    tirk im the lyrical jessie james

    Joined:
    Feb 4, 2004
    Messages:
    47,369
    Likes Received:
    21,536
    Right so lsu and Bama are about 3 points better at home.
     
  5. Attack Tiger

    Attack Tiger Reformed Sunshine Pumper

    Joined:
    Jul 17, 2008
    Messages:
    2,786
    Likes Received:
    652
    I think it means that they'd be favored by 12 if it were in T-Town.
     
  6. TerryP

    TerryP Founding Member

    Joined:
    Oct 30, 2002
    Messages:
    7,993
    Likes Received:
    2,078
    Do your research gentleman.
     
  7. tirk

    tirk im the lyrical jessie james

    Joined:
    Feb 4, 2004
    Messages:
    47,369
    Likes Received:
    21,536
    So how many points are bamas and lsus home field worth? I skimmed your article and didn't see it.
     
  8. vshouse

    vshouse Veteran Member

    Joined:
    Aug 11, 2010
    Messages:
    1,243
    Likes Received:
    227
    "One goal of mine since establishing this blog was to quantify home field advantage.Early on, I found consistently that home field advantage across the country in college football was worth about 3 to 3.5 points.But how does that vary by team?"

    this comes from the same article he was trying to quote.....somehow this guy comes up with some crazy number that their home field advantage is by computing all the stats for both teams.....this is one of those situations where stats can be very misleading.
     
  9. vshouse

    vshouse Veteran Member

    Joined:
    Aug 11, 2010
    Messages:
    1,243
    Likes Received:
    227
    he cant tell you......after reading that crazy article neither can I. Only thing I can tell you is that his comuptations come up with bama scoring 30 and lsu scoring 15......how that equals to home field advantage....I couldn't tell you. That's a 15 point difference yet the line opened at 9....his research doesn't hold water.
     
  10. ThePhenom74

    ThePhenom74 Founding Member

    Joined:
    Aug 28, 2009
    Messages:
    2,648
    Likes Received:
    1,311
    I was a bit surprised to see Bama such a big favorite. Then again I think the BCSCG and the consistentcy of Bama and inconsistentcy of LSU are a big factor. Their D is dominant while our O is anemic. Everyone knows if LSU plays their best they are capable of beating Bama. It all depends on which LSU shows up.
     

Share This Page