To be honest most line makers give on average 3-7 just for Home Field advantage. As a person who likes to bet a few dollars. LSU is awful ATS. This year has been better 2-3 ATS (ULL, and UGA) but until recently we were about 2-14 ATS and something like 1-12 in Tiger Stadium ATS. Since I never bet for or against LSU it doesnt matter to me. So in theory if I took a guess, if you give us HFA. Vegas is kind of predicting a Florida drubbing, yes they were like 28pt favs against Tenn. But to be at home at night and be almost a 9 pt dog, means people in Vegas dont give us much of a chance. I am sure Les Miles wont mention it in public but I wouldn't be surprised if that "news" doesn't somehow make it back to the team. PLus tack on the fact UGA is GETTING two points against Tennessee. Means they dont put much stock into the UGA win as that is about where LSU was against UGA between the hedges. Sadly vegas is considerably more right then wrong.
I'm not sure Vegas disrespects LSU. They're simply looking at matchups and guessing where the money should break. Georgia couldn't move the ball against us, so how are they going to move it against a better defense AWAY from home? Answer is, they probably won't. Florida leads the SEC in tons of defensive categories. After seeing the game last week I envision us having to settle for field goals again. I don't like it but I understand how Vegas could envision the game coming out to something like 20-10 Florida.
Bingo!!! That's exactly how the Vegas oddsmakers see it. Granted, we haven't set the world on fire in our 5 W's, but that's a slap in the face.
Line has already moved 1/2 pt in LSU's favor. Now down to LSU +8 Meaning LSU is getting a decent amount of wagers on their side. Not a huge move but there is enough money going on the LSU side to move it .5 pts Which is probably exactly what Vegas wants as they see this as a pretty easy Florida win.
Hard to tell on my POS phone but it looks like 73% of the $$ is on LSU at the moment. I hope this changes in a big way. It is still early and the heavy hitters won't be expected to come in until later in the week anyway. If the betting public continues to drive this number down to 6 and a hook the big boys may pounce on it.
Will the spread indicate if Tebow will play before Meyer decides to let the rest of the world know? Is there something that Vegas knows that the rest of us don't? I hear its at 7.5 now.
