well look at that 0-15 stat i posted. that plays heavily into it. LSU is 0-15 against the spread at home following a win under les miles (in conference games). add UF with one of the top defenses in the country, LSU coming off 2 close wins with a subpar offense. = blowout in their eyes. when qbs go out for a game in the nfl the line doesnt move much because the defenses usually play even harder for a game or two. players can pick up the slack for a short period. im not sure how it works in college though. id think tebow was worth a touchdown.
Well, I'm just relaying what ESPN reported at 4PM today. It is true that Vegas websites have Gators -8 1/2 right now (7:20 PM Monday). And Sin City really thinks UGA is trash. Vols -1 over Bulldogs? Wow.
You have a link for that stat? As to Tebow, if he's worth a TD then Vegas thinks we're a 18 point dog???? Thanks for the insight.
Originally Posted by tirk well look at that 0-15 stat i posted. that plays heavily into it. LSU is 0-15 against the spread at home following a win under les miles (in conference games). add UF with one of the top defenses in the country, LSU coming off 2 close wins with a subpar offense. = blowout in their eyes. when qbs go out for a game in the nfl the line doesnt move much because the defenses usually play even harder for a game or two. players can pick up the slack for a short period. im not sure how it works in college though. id think tebow was worth a touchdown." How is Miles 0-15 at home following a win when facing the spread when Miles record is 47-11 at LSU?
I think the spread is based more on the oddsmakers estimates of what number will generate roughly equal action on each side of the bet. So they are guessing at public sentiment. Vegas sees the general public needing 9.5 points to be enticed into betting on LSU. A surprising lack of respect for the Tigers. And a slap in the face given Tebow might not even play.
against the spread if LSU were a 9 pt favorite, and won by 8, that's a loss ATS even though it goes as a win on Miles' record
