Final BCS Analysis: Texas vs OU

Discussion in 'OTHER SPORTS Forum' started by islstl, Nov 29, 2008.

  1. Hawker45

    Hawker45 Founding Member

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    Doesn't get much closer than that...

    The Georgia President should have his letter out soon... questioning why the Bulldogs aren't in the hunt....
     
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  2. bmy-

    bmy- Founding Member

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    1 point lead + road win @top-15 = OU in the big-12 championship game. Right?
     
  3. fanatic

    fanatic Habitual Line Stepper

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    What a crappy system. First, there's no way the BCSCG should come down to OU vs TX. First, it would mean that a non-conference champion would be playing for the national champion, which is total BS. Plus, I don't care if OU is scoring 100pts a game, they lost to TX straight up on a neutral field. This in itself should keep them ahead of OU in the BCS polls.
     
  4. islstl

    islstl Playoff committee is a group of great football men Staff Member

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    Coaches poll had about 20 coaches swap out OU for UT instead. Very shocking to me.

    So at this point, I have the computers at:

    Texas = .960
    OU = .950

    Watch for Anderson&Hester as well as Peter Wolfe polls. OU could be as high as #1 in PW, I have them at #3. It's too hard to figure that poll out. That would mean OU = .970 and Texas = .950. Also, A&H could end up with Texas at #3 instead of #2 (way too close to call). That would further hinder Texas' chances.

    So the computers could swing all the way OU's way:

    Texas = .950
    OU = .970

    If this happens, then many more Harris voters will have to come Texas' way. Texas would have to be 56 points ahead of OU in order to force a virtual tie.

    Essentially it's 28 points in the Harris = .0100 advantage in the computer polls. So calling the Coaches' a tie, you can go off this computation to decide.

    The Harris will probably decide it. The Harris was kinder to Texas in last week's poll, so I look for more votes to shift their way.

    Bottom line, if Texas is ahead in the computer polls, then Texas is #2.
    If Texas and OU is tied in the computer polls, then the Harris decides it, and advantage Texas.
    If OU is ahead by .0100 in the computer polls over Texas, then flip a coin.
    If OU is ahead by .0200 or more, then OU is #2.

    Texas is currently 21 points shy of OU in the Harris (2577 vs 2598). If Texas gets the bump that the Coaches gave them, that would equate to 2597 to 2558. A 39 point edge by UT in the Harris. OU would have to beat UT by .0200 in the computer polls to overtake UT in that instance. If Texas gets a 60 point edge or higher, then the computer polls don't look to be able to help OU enough.

    It's too close to call, my friends.

    Sorry.
     
  5. islstl

    islstl Playoff committee is a group of great football men Staff Member

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    Harris is out.

    Texas ahead by 2575 to 2569.

    Not as much a bump as Texas would have liked.

    Based on overall human voting, Texas holds the slightest of advantages.

    It now comes down to the computer polls.

    Currently I have Texas at .960 and OU at .950.

    OU has to have an advantage in the computer polls to end up ahead of UT in the BCS.

    Crazy.

    Too close to call.

    Still.
     
  6. islstl

    islstl Playoff committee is a group of great football men Staff Member

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    Computer polls showing:

    UT = .920
    OU = .910

    I assume that's the final.

    UT beats out OU for 2nd in the BCS it appears.

    The individual computer polls have not been released, so I cannot see how very close it was for OU to beat out UT in a couple of them.

    Good grief.

    Stoops will be crying.
     
  7. lsufan_in_ohio

    lsufan_in_ohio East Ascension High '76

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    Great Job.....I am sure you are right about Stoops.........:cry:
     
  8. islstl

    islstl Playoff committee is a group of great football men Staff Member

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    Have they announced it yet?

    I am confused whether the computer polls are final or not?

    It's possible the computer polls are adjusted just based on the ones that have been published so far.

    It doesn't make sense that Bama is at .9900. OU closed the gap considerably on Bama, no way there is a .0800 spread.

    So maybe we need to hold the fort.

    Tellshow still has OU at .960, UT at .950. OU wins out if that's the case.

    I still have UT at .960 and OU at .950. UT wins out.
     
  9. lsufan_in_ohio

    lsufan_in_ohio East Ascension High '76

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    About to on Fox.....here we go......Texas #3 OU #2
     
  10. lsufan_in_ohio

    lsufan_in_ohio East Ascension High '76

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    WOW.....OU #2
     

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