Computer polls: ...........WC..RB...JS...AH..KM..PW Texas....1....4.....1.....2....2....2.... .970 OU........3....2.....2.....4....1....3.... .940 Rich Tellshow projects .960 for Texas and .920 for OU, as he has OU 4th in WC and 3rd in JS. Georgia losing to Tech today solified OU at 3rd in WC over Bama. The only other difference we have is I project Texas to barely move past Utah in the AH poll, he has them in 3rd. Using Tellshow's computer poll projections and using the same exact human polls as we have now, Texas wins out. As far as SOS goes, Texas got a boost from Arkansas, Rice and FAU, while the Nebraska/Colorado game went in OU's favor. That could loom large, as a couple of computer polls are too close to call (PW, JS). Texas must keep the top spot in the Sagarin poll. It comes out first thing in the morning. If OU is first, then it's probably over for Texas. PW is too hard to predict, and I don't know if Texas will hold onto their #2 ranking over OU. WC, RB, AH and KM are pretty solid as stated. So basically, OU could end up with .960 and Texas with .950, or visa-versa. Based on the computer polls above and using the current human polls with exactly no changes: .................. Harris.....Coaches....Computers.....Final Oklahoma..... .9116..... .9259....... .9400......... .9258 (2.7775/3) Texas.......... .9042..... .8984....... .9700......... .9242 (2.7726/3) That difference is Texas being 1 spot better in 1 only computer poll or OU being 1 spot worse in only 1 computer poll. One vote in the Coaches' poll is worth .0007 and in the Harris .00035. So basically Texas needs 1 coach to flip flop OU and Texas and flip flop OU and Florida, and Texas would be ahead .9249 to .9244. That's how close it is. For every point lost in the computer polls, that's 14 more points in the Coaches' and 28 in the Harris. If Texas finishes ahead .970 to .940 over OU in the computer polls, I am convinced Texas will get the very few vote changes needed to stay #2 in the BCS later today. Anything less than a .030 advantage by Texas over OU in the computer polls will not be enough and OU will overtake Texas. It's impossible to know what the voters will do, I think there is ample groundswell to support Texas' neutral field win vs Oklahoma by 10 points. I think at the very worst, Texas won't lose any more ground on OU, even with their win on the road vs Oklahoma State. Anybody who thought OU should be ahead of Texas has already voted that way as of last Sunday. Now the big question becomes, how many will defect from the OU camp? How many does it take to give Texas the #2 spot in the BCS ahead of #3 OU? It's a little more complicated than that. In the Coaches' poll, there are plenty of voters who have OU ahead of Florida. Do they flip-flop them, costing OU some crucial points? Florida embarrassed FSU at their place and the only thing that saved them was the wet field. I just have a sneaky suspicion that the Nebraska win over Colorado does Texas in, based on the computer polls. That was a crucial 2 game swing on the SOS of both Texas and OU. Talking heads weighed in: Herbstreit - Texas May - Texas Corso - Texas Fowler - didn't weigh in Holtz - Notre Dame, er, Oklahoma Musberger - drank another shot of his brandy and proceeded to puke (he didn't weigh in)
Even though they only won by 20... OU will get the nod. Don't hurt yourself trying to figure this out.
Unfortunately Oklahoma will probably get the nod. Since they looked impressive the last two weeks in showdown games.
Ok, question Izzy: If Texas gets the nod and plays Mizzou, and Mizzou wins the Big 12. Would OU play the Bama/Florida winner in the BCS Title game? Or, could USC or Penn State slip into that game? :crystal::geaux::crystal::geaux::crystal:
Well USC is now going to win the PAC-10. There argument would be that OU didn't win their conference. Carroll would come on TV after the route of 5-A HS UCLA 43-7 and claim he don't know nuttin about the big bad BCS. Can someone pwease exspwain it to me? Putty please? Anybody wanna watch that bullshyt transpire? I didn't think so. But in the end, OU's computer polls would be still way ahead of USC in the end, and the voters would have to go bezerk to get USC. USC has a better shot if Texas is left out of the Big 12 game and OU loses instead, since they are closer to Texas in the human polls.
I think the human poll will swing big for UT tomorrow. Most people are going to come to their senses and say that UT beat OU and that's really all that matters. OU's lack of defense tonight won't help them either, no matter the offense was money.
That was my call earlier today. UT had to hope it was gonna be a shootout and expose a defense that is just not very good on the road or on a neutral site. They got their wish. I too believe enough voters will change their mind. Now only if UT can hold on to the computer poll lead. It is so very close.
Anyone notice how far Florida is behind UT and OU in the computers? I'm not sure a Florida win over unbeaten Bama will push them into the title game without a Texas or OU loss in the Big 12 Champ game. I think Florida is gonna have to be a unanimous #1 in both human polls. Man this season is just a swewy as last year. The Big 12 South situation is a mess.... Penn State has an arguement: 11-1, won Big 10. Only loss was last second field goal to Iowa. USC has an arguement: 11-1, won Pac-10. Only loss was by 6 points on the road. :crystal::geaux::crystal::geaux::crystal:
