More referring to a loss to a top 15 UT in the SEC CG. No way we fall below a 2 loss GA or VTech. WVU and ASU losing, Kansas/Mizzou loser would all fall behind Georgia in the BCS rankings. Proposed BCS rankings after those events: 1. LSU 2. Missouri/Kansas winner 3. Ohio State 4. Georgia 5. Virginia Tech 6. Missouri/Kansas loser 7. WVU 8. USC 9. Oregon 10. Oklahoma Once Missouri/Kansas winner loses in the Big 12 CG, an LSU loss drops us to only #2 in the nation. Obviously a lot has to happen. The 2 biggest things would be WVU losing to UConn and Tennessee beating Kentucky (since Georgia beating us would put them in the NC instead). So Georgia and Vtech fans still have some hope, although very slight. So final standings look like: 1. Ohio State 2. LSU 3. Vtech (if they win out) 4. Georgia (#3 if Vtech falters) 5. Oklahoma 6. Missouri/Kansas loser in Big 12 CG LSU would essentially be the Oklahoma of 03. It's not that far fetched.
I usually agree with your accessment, but there's no way I see LSU making it in with a loss to end the season. Ohio State would be in before us, and Kansas probably would as well.
Man, that's a lot of stuff to happen. Do you really feel like UConn has any kind of chance with WVU? (Not pickin', just wondering.)
That's the longest shot in the equation. WVU's buggaboo is turnovers. It cost them vs Louisville and very nearly vs Cincy.
I'd have to agree with your post, I think it's unlikely, but I also try to keep in mind who the Tigers beat in '03, and how the Sooners were in that final game after getting axe-murdered by K-State in the Big 12 title game.
If Kansas wins this weekend, they probably still won't be number 1 if LSU wins as well (computer rankings will be about tied, but human voters would not vault them to #1, they would get closer but overtake us). So you're telling me if LSU and Kansas lose their CG in the same weekend that LSU would fall below Kansas in the human polls? I think not. Human voters have their guns cocked and ready to pull the trigger to drop Kansas like a hot potato. If Kansas loses this weekend, they drop even further than in the CG scenario I just described. You would agree with that, right? Same with Mizzou. Who in their right mind would vote a Mizzou team that lost to OU TWICE in the same season ahead of LSU, if Mizzou and LSU both lost their CG? Of course Ohio State is in at #1. But who else but LSU at #2? LSU would have a DECIDED advantage in the computer polls over everyone except Kansas. A DECIDED advantage. Are you buying?
I'm not sure I can give you an alternative, I just know that a 2-loss LSU team with it's last game being a loss sounds about as cooky as I've ever heard. You discount Georgia, but I think Georgia would be more attractive. Perhaps VT as well. I hope I don't have to find out if you're right or not, because I want LSU to win the last two games to remove all doubt. I just don't see it though. You're right though, I don't think we fall below the Big XII rep. Oklahoma's another that has a shot.
Oklahoma's computer polls are disastrous. They are out. The only teams are Georgia and Vtech in this scenario. How you gonna put Vtech ahead of us when they lost so soundly to LSU? And Georgia didn't even make it to the SEC CG. And LSU would have lost to a top 15 UT team on a neutral field (it would have to be a nailbiting loss). Not the worst loss in the world (WVU's loss at home to UConn would be worse, for sure). I am convinced under this scenario LSU falls to only #2 in the BCS.
ASU is probably a top 15-20 team. They aren't horrible by any stretch. Not elite, that's for sure. Talk about USC being a dangerous team to play, that Stanford loss could be looked back on as the one that keeps them out of the national title game. Same thing as UCLA last year.
