Electoral College Math

Discussion in 'Free Speech Alley' started by Tiger in NC, Aug 7, 2012.

  1. LSUMASTERMIND

    LSUMASTERMIND Founding Member

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    you need to go back and search other threads then, because that is false.
    but according to you it doesnt matter who does it, its ok.
     
  2. LSUpride123

    LSUpride123 PureBlood

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    Like who?
     
  3. LSUMASTERMIND

    LSUMASTERMIND Founding Member

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    like Obama on the stimulus he signed into law.
     
  4. LSUpride123

    LSUpride123 PureBlood

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    You will still be voting for him so does it really matter to you?
     
  5. LSUMASTERMIND

    LSUMASTERMIND Founding Member

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    yea it does, I never decided until im in the booth, Im like a freestyle rapper.
     
    martin likes this.
  6. martin

    martin Banned Forever

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    did you just make that up? i am gonna use that in my first novel.
     
  7. LSUMASTERMIND

    LSUMASTERMIND Founding Member

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    just made that up
     
  8. mobius481

    mobius481 Registered Member

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  9. Winston1

    Winston1 Founding Member

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    That would be interesting and may even work depending on how much Biden believes he has a shot in 2016. Both can be pragmatic and Biden knows the senate.
     
  10. Tiger in NC

    Tiger in NC There's a sucker born everyday...

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    Well, another week and, folks, this is going to be a close one. Romney has made gains in Florida, Virginia and has all but secured North Carolina. All three are still within the margin of error but if I were placing a bet I would put my money on Romney winning all three. Virginia and Florida are still within reach for the President and there is mounting evidence that he is gaining in Virginia and Florida but if the election were held today I believe that Romney would win both Virginia and Florida narrowly. Obama has retained his leads and margins in Iowa, Wisconsin, Ohio, Nevada and New Hampshire and seems to have formed a "firewall," for lack of a better term, in the midwest with Iowa, Wisconsin and Ohio, which have all stubbornly held fast for the President in spite of the Romney surge. Colorado is tied, 48-48, and every indication says that Gary Johnson is having some effect on the outcome. Colorado could tip either way.

    Speaking of surges, there is evidence that the Romney surge from the first debate ended about a week to ten days ago. There is also evidence that the President is currently enjoying some resurgence in the swing state polls as well as the national polls. Gallup, which has been some what of an outlying polls in both directions, showed Romney up by 7 last week, today it is 2. Of 8 national tracking polls, the President has made gains in each of them over the past 7-10 days and currently holds a slim statistical lead nationally over Romney.

    Another big story is early voting. The President is enjoying significant leads among those who are voting early. This is a testament to the Obama ground game, which in my opinion will be the difference in this election. The RNC has definitely improved their field office presence since 2008 but they are still out matched 3 to 1 in all swing states. Another number to watch is the growing enthusiasm of Latino voters. This demographic has gone from 40% enthusiastic to 70% in the course of about three weeks. Further, the Republicans are doing themselves no favors with the likes of Todd Akin and Richard Murdock intent upon putting their foots in their mouth as it pertains to women and abortion rights.

    If the election were held today I would predict it would end with a narrow Obama victory in the popular vote and a slightly larger margin in the electoral college of 290-248. Like I said at the outset, this is a close election and will not be like 2008. That said, I still think it is the President's election to lose.

    On a side note, if Romney loses this election; especially given the political climate in the country, I believe we will see a parting of ways between more moderate, establishment Republicans and Tea Party Republicans. I say this because the establishment Republicans will see the writing on the wall as it pertains to changing demographics in the country to remain viable in national elections but the Tea Party will recoil at the idea of being more inclusive or budging on social issues.
     
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