maybe, i dont know. use the numbers on admissions to the hospital to decide how quickly to open stuff. keep hospitals at maybe 85% capacity. if they go over that, slow it down, less than that, open stuff up
The problem is that the data shows your position to be false. We have not yet hit our peak though we may be getting closer. Regardless without the last several weeks of social distancing and enhanced precautions we would be having an exponential rise in cases as the virus spread. Instead of 2 million cases we might have 20 million. The consequences then would have been catastrophic. Get your head out of the sand
That is not true. Reports this week show China had this months in advance and all you are going off of is US test data. We started testing after this had been here for months. Further, as already pointed out, the models you are referencing have been proven wrong.
OF COURSE. THAT WAS THE WHOLE POINT OF THE EXERCISE. Allow time for treatments to be developed, a vaccine and immunity. We have 70 vaccines in trial. We have several more effective treatments than were available a month ago. This was a play for time not the solution. This is pretty obvious if you forget the political hackery
The data is useless. The data is merely a reflection of testing capability. We have no idea how long this has been here, or for how long it was in China. You say, instead of 2 million cases, we might have 20 million. For all you know we do have 20 million. We may have even more than that. If test only represent those people with symptoms, then the data is only 15% of the actual cases based on the fact that only 15% show symptoms worthy of hospital visit and thus getting a test. As far as our peak, we peaked in new cases somewhere between April 3 and April 10. New cases have dropped below the max data between that time. As far as catastrophe, this is speculation. You have to remember that COVID19 is only lethal in a finite sub population of the public. So, even if all 321 Million of us got infected, the mortality would only apply to that sub population of susceptible patients, and only to a small set of them. These things run out of easy targets without any help from us.
How much of the "no vents for elderly patients" in Italy had to do with socialized medicine? I have wondered that.