Video clip from Chris Lowe on ESPN.com. It is a very wide window according to him, and cant say that I dont agree with his take. I would say the Best case is 1 win better than he does. Video: Best case/worst case -- LSU - SEC Blog - ESPN Geaux Tigers!!!
I certainly hope you are correct, and I believe on talent alone it would be hard to not win 6 games. However, football is crazy and injuries, turnovers, and all sorts of sh&*^ can happen. Our Out of Conference games are both going to be tougher than any the last couple of seasons.
I'd agree with 6-6 as the 'worst' case scenario... IF you say the 'best' case scenario is national championship. I'd say both scenarios are out of reach, but probably have the same likelihood. I realize these are excuses, and all 'what-if's, but if we're looking at best/worse scenarios then you have to assume everything falls into place.. or nothing does. Last year from a 'best case scenario standpoint': 1. Trindon doesn't slip on a bad field and scores... LSU wins bowl game 2. FG team is ready and on the field at ole miss... kick is good 3. replay shows interception... we finish the game with an 2007 LSU/auburn-esque finish... beat bama for the west. Hate to make the assumption with UF, but losing once with a semi-hurt tebow and our inability to move the ball... we lose in atlanta but finish 12-2 (i realize we wouldn't have been playing PSU in the bowl, and wouldn't have had a bad field/etc/etc/blah blah blah... you get my point) Personally, I think 10-2 is a fairly reasonable scenario for 2010 not exactly best case, but just a few things falling our way. (may have some slight purple tint to my glasses, but not insane.) Not going to go into last years worst case scenario... I mean I don't wanna jinx anyone with an injury or something. 6-6 is pretty unlikely... ? bama/uf are the obvious 2 choices... I see us winning more then two games with ark/auburn/unc/wvu/olemiss... throw tennessee/miss st. into the mix... i mean anything is possible, but if you're going to not give us any props for a worst case scenario, then you have to give us everything for a best case scenario... and bama/uf aren't THAT much better.
OK, we play six ranked teams and six lesser teams. The Best case is we win them all. 12-0 . . . a real longshot considering our tough schedule. A highly likely case is that we are better than last year. 10-2 . . . many of us expect this. The most likely case is we split the ranked teams and win the rest. 9-3 . . . most of us expect this. A less likely case is that we are worse than last year. 8-4 . . . some of us expect this. An average case is we lose to the ranked teams and beat the rest. 6-6 . . . highly unlikely. Worst case is we lose them all. 0-12 . . . only a fool would expect this.
Best Case: 10-3/11-2 Worst case: 8-5/9-4 Other goals: Beat 'Bama, win the SEC, win a bowl game. The schedule looks pretty rough from where I stand. It's hard to see LSU making a national championship run, but at the very least I expect to see the Tigers compete for a conference title.
Best case, the team and coaches use all the negative talk about their possibilities to prove everybody wrong and come out kickin butt.
From what i have read and heard, it seems the team has really taken it to heart about their failures, coaches included. While some would say that things didn't look any different in the spring game, things did pop out. For example, running game look really good. I hope the things I am hearing about the LSU training is legit and these guys are really putting forth a 100% effort. In 2008 and 2009, we did not lose games b/c of talent, (yea I know J Lee and others stunk it up, but that's not the point) We lost those games b/c of an INTENSITY DROP OFF. We all know the difference from an LSU team and THE LSU TEAM. Talent alone could win LSU 8-9 games a year. LSU talent with the INTENSITY OF 2003, 2006, 2007 = second to none. It's not always about the Win/Loss record but more of the presence the team represents. When teams step on the field with LSU, they should know they are about to enter a WAR. These players have to grasp this concept and some teams just get it. Some don't. :LSU231:
In my experience, teams with intensity drop-offs are teams with no effective captains or other team leadership. The Hip-Hop generation is too cool for the rah-rah stuff, I suppose. But when men like Eric Andolsek were playing they wouldn't allow slacker attitudes from their teammates. I fear that if there is a flaw in LSU recruiting, it is getting plenty of big, fast, athletic players but not enough natural leaders. This rotating captain business is BS. Coach needs to find himself a couple of leaders on this team and then be demanding of them.
This season needs to be used to prepare for our national championship year in 2011. We're destined to play in the Dome in 2012. Why break tradition? :hihi: :crystal::crystal::crystal: