2016 State by State General Election Polling Tracker

Why

 

white voters with a college degree
Iowa: In July it was 44-37 for Clinton, now it is 56-25 for Clinton
Ohio: In July it was 39-34 for Clinton, now it is 45-37 for Clinton
Pennsylvania: In July it was 47-37 for Clinton, now it is 53-32 for Clinton

No Republican candidate has lost this constituency in the past 60 years. Romney won this demographic by somewhere around 10 points in 2012. In practical terms what does this do? It completely offsets Trumps lead among non-college educated white voters, which is one demographic that he is outperforming Romney with.

 

Why? Because DT is self destructing. He is proving he is totally unfit for office and anyone with a brain can see it.
It is such a tragedy that the country is saddled with two such destructive candidates. If DT weren't shooting his dick off hourly, the news about HRC would disqualify her. This morning emails were released showing collaboration between her people in the State Dept and contributors to the Clinton Foundation. In any other time her corruption, lying and incompetence would have her laughed off the stage and ruined. She is almost as toxic as DT. What she has done and is doing is indefensible.
As I noted previously we are totally screwed.

 

It's called critical thinking.

 

Sorry you never grew up and grew out of your college radical liberalism. It must be hard to understand that somebody has to pay for your free shit when you are still living off your daddy's dime.

 

FIFY

 

I voted for bush and Perot in college. If you ever get out of your redneck cocoon, you may see the value of commonwealth.

What free stuff?
And what dime?

 

Define your version of commonwealth.

 

Weekly Update:
Battleground polls published over the past week. These numbers include Johnson and Stein but I'm not going to list their numbers here for obvious reason.
Arizona, CBS, 42-44, Trump
Nevada, CBS, 43-41, Clinton
Missouri, Remington, 42-44, Trump
Pennsylvania, NBC, 39-35; Quinnipiac, 48-39; Susquehanna, 46-37, all Clinton
Ohio, NBC, 39-35; JMC Quinnipiac, 44-42, both Clinton
Georgia, Gravis, 39-43, Trump; JMC Analytics, 44-37, Clinton
Wisconsin, Marquette, 47-34, Clinton
New Hampshire, Vox Populi, 41-31, Clinton
Iowa, Suffolk, 36-37, Trump; NBC, 35-35
South Carolina, PPP, 39-41, Trump
Florida, NBC, 41-36, Clinton; Opinion Savvy, 45-44, Clinton; Qunnipiac, 43-43
Virginia, NBC, 43-31, Clinton; CBS, 49-37, Clinton
North Carolina, NBC, 45-36, Clinton; PPP, 43-41 Clinton
Colorado, NBC, 41-29, Clinton

Now for our polling averages, which I am listing in order of competiveness:
Missouri
Past Month, 39-44.3, Trump
Past 2 Wks, 42-44, Trump
Past Week, 42-44, Trump
South Carolina
Past Month, 39-41, Trump
Past 2 Wks, 39-41, Trump
Past Week, 39-41, Trump
Iowa
Past Month, 38.5-38.8, Trump
Past 2 Wks, 35.5-36, Trump
Past Week, 35.5-36, Trump
Arizona
Past Month, 43-43
Past 2 Wks, 43-43
Past Week, 41-44, Trump
Georgia
Past Month, 42.5-42.5
Past 2 Wks, 42.2-41.8, Clinton
Past Week, 41.5-40, Clinton
Nevada
Past Month, 41.8-41.3, Clinton
Past 2 Wks, 43-41, Clinton
Past Week, 43-41, Clinton
Florida
Past Month, 41.6-40.9, Clinton
Past 2 Wks, 43-40.5, Clinton
Past Week, 43-41, Clinton
Ohio
Past Month, 40.4-38.6, Clinton
Past 2 Wks, 41.5-38.5, Clinton
Past Week, 41.5-38.5, Clinton
North Carolina
Past Month, 43-39.8, Clinton
Past 2 Wks, 43.3-41, Clinton
Past Week, 44-38.5, Clinton
Michigan
Past Month, 39.4-33.2, Clinton
Past 2 Wks, 42-32, Clinton
Past Week, No New Polling
Pennsylvania
Past Month, 44.3-37.5, Clinton
Past 2 Wks, 46.2-37.6, Clinton
Past Week, 46.3-37.3, Clinton
Colorado
Past Month, 39.8-32.6, Clinton
Past 2 Wks, 41-29, Clinton
Past Week, 41-29, Clinton
New Hampshire
Past Month, 41.37-33.3, Clinton
Past 2 Wks, 44-31.5, Clinton
Past Week, 41-31, Clinton
Virginia
Past Month, 43-34, Clinton
Past 2 Wks, 46-34, Clinton
Past Week, 43-31, Clinton
Wisconsin
Past Month, 45-35.5, Clinton
Past 2 Wks, 47-34, Clinton
Past Week, 47-34, Clinton
New Mexico
No New Polling in the past month, last poll was 41-33, Clinton

As you can see Clinton is opening up sizeable leads in several states and within the next month if there isn't movement toward Trump I will likely remove Wisconsin, Virginia, New Hampshire, Colorado, Pennsylvania and Michigan since she has sustained sizeable leads on Trump in all of those states. Doing so would give her 268 electoral votes and only needing two more between the remaining battleground states of New Mexico, North Carolina, Florida, Nevada, Georgia, Arizona, Iowa, Ohio, South Carolina and Missouri. Put another way....if Clinton wins New Mexico, which is highly likely, Trump could win North Carolina, Florida, Ohio, Nevada, Georgia, Arizona, Iowa, South Carolina and Missouri and still lose the election 273-269.

Unless Trump can turn things around very soon, his campaign is likely doomed. I don't know any other way to put it.

 

No other way TO put it. Right now he has about as much of a chance at being elected as Osama.

I hope the next wiki leaks are damaging.