Why It Is Mathematically Impossible for Trump to win the White House

Those articles talk about predicting a win. I NEVER made that claim.

The level of support and enthusiasm a candidate has is a factor and trump just might be the best ever to get all the crazies out.

 

It's exactly what you said: Republican turnout has been higher and that favors Trump. Would you like me to quote you directly?

See here are your own words, sir.

 

So you admit that you are moving the goalposts? Yes, Trump has driven some disaffected voters to the polls who have not voted before and, for that at least, good for him. People need to vote. That said, in no way does this foreshadow his success in the fall, as the articles I posted indicate.

 

polls are the ONLY scientific indicator that we have of how a race is going. everything else is your, or someone else's, opinion and doesn't really matter any more than they person next to you. so, to answer your question....yes, it IS about polls, right up until we vote and those polls are right the vast majority of the time. Ask Mitt Romney.

So what you mean to say is that polls can change. Yes, polls can change....the will of the voters can change. That has not been displayed thus far by the polls. Until that changes I'll stick by my assertion that Trump is going to get beaten badly and it's going to have a down ballot affect on the house and senate races.

 

There was a lot of enthusiasm for Obama and Clinton during that race that drove Democratic turnout to record levels, not just Obama. But also keep in mind that the Democrats turned out almost twice as many primary voters during the 1984 election and we all know how that one went.

 

you are probably right about this but he is also going to be the best ever at driving turnout on the Democratic side as well so that is a double edged sword.

 

I never said high primary numbers equal high general numbers.

 

Again I never made that claim. I clarified I was talking about support and enthusiasm.

 

Okay and this will be my last post on this particular subject, but if you now say that you were talking about support and enthusiasm, what other kind of outcome would you expect those two things to foretell? You even went on to say that this will favor Trump, which tells me that you believed that the higher GOP turnout during the primaries would translate into a general election victory. Now you say otherwise. Interesting.

 

the only person saying otherwise is you because YOU made the jump. Not me.

The chart I posted does relate to enthusiasm. How does it not? How would you explain record turnouts for the GOP in decades?

At no point did I say that this means trump will have the same numbers in the General.

Instead of asking or even talking about what I said, you posted irrelevant links and changed the subject.

Yea, this enthusiasm is because of trump and he is a media mastermind. He was never going to win a state. He was never going to win another. He could t last. Etc.

Now it's, he can never beat HRC.

HRC still hasn't wrapped up a primary that was all but given to her.