Rich Telshow site updated Dec 3: Coaches, Sagarin, Colley are updated. UF picked up a lot of votes in the Coaches poll and if that trend continues in the Harris they will be #2. If UF and Mich evenly split the #2 and #3 votes in the Harris poll, UF will lead UM by .0055. UM needs 24 more #2 votes or a 48 point lead in Harris on UF to over come the Coaches polls margin assuming both UM's and UF's computer component is .94. Should I have made a mistake in my computer estmates and say UF's computer component is .93 not .94, then UM will only need a 10 vote margin or a 20 point lead. Last week UM led UF by 86 points in Harris. Comp Coach's Harris BSC Team W L Ave Rank Pts BCS Rank Pts BCS Points 1 Ohio State 12 0 1.00 1 1550 0.984 1 2850 1.000 0.9947 2 Florida 11 1 0.94 2 1470 0.933 2 2679 0.940 0.9378 3 Michigan 11 1 0.94 3 1444 0.917 2 2679 0.940 0.9323
Agrees with what I came up with: Coaches Poll: Florida........1470 = .94839 Michigan.....1444 = .9316 Harris Poll (WHAT MICHIGAN NEEDS TO STAY AHEAD IN BCS): Michigan....2703 = .94842 Florida.......2655 = .9316 48 point margin over Florida in Harris needed by Michigan.
Are you kidding? You don't think 7 voters will flip flop? That's all it would take if I read it correctly.
